TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,045,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,046,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,045,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c500,369$251,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248,999.0887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under52c287,753$148,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,556.7243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under50c205,403$102,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,312.7926753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over49c204,333$100,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,209.8366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c200,000$102,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c25,770$12,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,784.664,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c18,078$8,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,399.212,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c17,043$8,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,761.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c10,250$5,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1251,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.992045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c7,797$4,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over49c4,602$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.0222648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under49c4,477$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.8438251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.8314753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c2,386$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.68,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over52c2,005$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.3652460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c1,848$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.753,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under43c1,646$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.9828842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under50c1,234$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61721446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,123$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf0e…1f6cbacked Under48c1,027$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under6c1,027$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6528616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50017454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c996$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49821247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over50c863$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c826$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c792$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.72,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under50c758.76$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38018743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under49c734.06$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.784146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c662.29$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over52c657.2$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over49c654.04$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.022,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07a0…7a80backed Under55c653.2$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.262763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under51c627.45$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Over49c617$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.6710226.5%27 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c600.02$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.963,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30649345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c543.08$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under52c509.63$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26715543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under51c410$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.113951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1611157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa583…2928backed Over50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1942737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x957f…8bb9backed Under51c309.58$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.77850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over48c299.16$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5722746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over54c290.73$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3845452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over50c290$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c254.83$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.553,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over48c222$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4423946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over54c205.15$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.372846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8825846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under50c199.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9927052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Under52c190.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0221854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fea…9bdbbacked Under50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over52c170.62$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over50c142.76$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3822048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under19c138.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over52c137$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7654351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under25c136.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Over79c125.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.875358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.46056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c118.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.412,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under29c113.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1511128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c98.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under52c94.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0623349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Over74c89.37$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.231833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over44c87.45$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.131,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6345445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Under36c81.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4413115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Under53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.411759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under22c79.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.623047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Over50c79.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.225133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec3…9db1backed Under49c77.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.131050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over51c72.21$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7425655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over51c71.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3730151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under51c69.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5711850%59 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Over77c67.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.532669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb59c…e944backed Under51c59.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.374447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over54c57.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3321642.1%91 W · 125 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2517444.3%77 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…6fb0backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96b…f2e6backed Under27c47.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.