NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-14.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc46365c4329653cae7d6a2d2ab6a61d8840b45e01892be5f2d3eb5a278da0639

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Wizardsof Rockets, Wizards
Resolved: Mar 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $396,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $414,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,355 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets	51c	281,501$142,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142,825.35	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards	50c	50,000$24,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,200.03	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards	49c	37,548$18,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,156.84	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards	50c	26,628$13,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,393.42	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Wizards	49c	23,900$11,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,189	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards	49c	20,006$9,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,203.06	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…ea04backed Wizards	49c	19,600$9,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,996	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3290…1135backed Wizards	50c	19,600$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,800	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Wizards	49c	12,245$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,244.9	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Wizards	49c	11,379$5,576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,803.17	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Wizards	49c	11,184$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,683.67	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards	49c	10,987$5,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,573.11	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Wizards	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,204.08	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Wizards	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,100	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Rockets	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Wizards	49c	9,592$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,891.84	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Wizards	49c	8,141$3,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,151.82	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Rockets	51c	7,696$3,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,924.96	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Wizards	49c	6,501$3,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,315.51	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards	48c	6,166$2,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,206.16	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Rockets	55c	5,973$3,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,283.54	197	47.7%94 W · 103 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	44c	5,664$2,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,153.85	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	49c	5,583$2,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,847.12	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards	49c	4,844$2,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,470.44	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Rockets	47c	4,496$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,132.01	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards	50c	3,129$1,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,564.5	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Wizards	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Wizards	49c	2,598$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,324.96	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Rockets	50c	2,267$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.59	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Rockets	50c	2,118$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.04	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Wizards	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.82	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rockets	51c	1,960$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.48	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards	49c	1,838$901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$937.38	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets	52c	1,765$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.12	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards	50c	1,694$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.88	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	47c	1,617$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.02	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Wizards	50c	1,600$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Rockets	50c	1,395$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.94	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets	51c	1,102$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.43	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Rockets	55c	1,048$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.08	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Rockets	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	211	39.8%84 W · 127 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Rockets	54c	870.9$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.95	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	49c	863.53$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.02	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Rockets	51c	784.31$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Rockets	51c	637.25$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Wizards	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Rockets	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Rockets	74c	587.13$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.48	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Rockets	55c	500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	136	38.2%52 W · 84 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Rockets	52c	423.08$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-26%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x22a6…8fb7backed Wizards	47c	421.99$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.71	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Rockets	47c	419.46$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.59	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Rockets	40c	400$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Wizards	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Rockets	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca9…d946backed Wizards	61c	399.98$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.99	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Wizards	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Rockets	50c	356.14$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.07	273	57.1%156 W · 117 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Wizards	50c	346.31$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.16	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets	50c	339.79$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.78	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Wizards	51c	304.19$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.41	153	57.5%88 W · 65 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Wizards	28c	285$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.2	144	38.9%56 W · 88 L	+32.5wins	+0.23per pick	16cpaid	+228.3%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	53c	276.53$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.94	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Rockets	55c	273.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Wizards	48c	269.99$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.7	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Wizards	45c	260.99$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.1	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Wizards	35c	251.75$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.83	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Wizards	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Rockets	51c	250$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2b…1477backed Wizards	50c	243.72$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.87	127	49.6%63 W · 64 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets	52c	235.29$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Wizards	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Wizards	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Rockets	72c	200$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Wizards	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Rockets	52c	192.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	58.4%66 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Rockets	47c	170.21$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockets	36c	170$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.39	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ceb…68e3backed Rockets	51c	164.71$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Rockets	34c	161$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.7	111	28.8%32 W · 79 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Wizards	44c	155.92$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.34	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards	50c	154.92$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.46	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Wizards	55c	151$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.95	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd506…4f0ebacked Wizards	66c	150.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.49	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Rockets	75c	140$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.3	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa308…94b9backed Rockets	51c	137.25$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets	52c	135.84$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Rockets	76c	130.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Wizards	50c	120$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Rockets	39c	120$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	109	45%49 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Wizards	50c	119.41$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.71	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards	47c	118.96$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.6	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rockets	60c	118.05$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.46	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Rockets	51c	109$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.59	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83b7…be96backed Wizards	50c	102.94$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.47	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Wizards	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Rockets	52c	100.9$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.47	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc09…3079backed Rockets	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-14.5)this page
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Rockets vs. WizardsRockets won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Wizards won
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Wizards won
Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 10.5No won
Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-14.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event