NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x482c2bfdabe8f0c5e09a392af916ef2f2ad7e36dd464a6f6cfc8712f28957d82

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Rockets, Wizards
Resolved: Mar 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,053,058
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,802,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,053,058 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	10c	146,551$15,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,092.77	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	11c	146,170$16,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,170.23	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards	11c	139,091$15,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,300	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Wizards	11c	112,000$12,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,319.99	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Wizards	0c	110,398$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.12	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	10c	75,015$7,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,811.67	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7099…1c59backed Wizards	0c	63,739$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.85	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Wizards	1c	59,496$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.2	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Wizards	1c	56,421$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.89	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Wizards	10c	54,999$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,499.95	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards	11c	47,656$5,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,316.67	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	7c	44,642$3,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,262.65	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards	0c	35,137$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.05	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Wizards	12c	34,961$4,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,273.66	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	11c	34,578$3,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,663.53	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	11c	30,486$3,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,345.75	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	1c	30,283$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.22	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Wizards	10c	29,999$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.95	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	13c	25,495$3,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,198.72	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Wizards	1c	25,222$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.22	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards	1c	25,151$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.81	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Wizards	12c	25,126$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Wizards	10c	24,826$2,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,482.57	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	1c	24,084$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Wizards	11c	23,500$2,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,585	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards	1c	20,317$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.34	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Wizards	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards	10c	19,944$1,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,994.39	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Wizards	11c	18,136$1,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,994.96	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Wizards	5c	15,304$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	1c	13,632$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.32	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	11c	13,070$1,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,437.7	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Wizards	11c	12,812$1,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,409.32	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Wizards	11c	12,300$1,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,353	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Wizards	16c	10,945$1,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,784.45	117	47%55 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards	11c	10,383$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.71	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Wizards	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x312a…7f59backed Wizards	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Wizards	10c	10,000$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.96	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	10c	9,600$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.54	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards	12c	9,014$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Wizards	11c	8,300$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Wizards	11c	8,161$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wizards	12c	7,934$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.22	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Wizards	11c	7,368$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.48	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards	11c	7,272$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.92	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Wizards	11c	6,818$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	6,795$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.42	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Wizards	11c	6,670$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.71	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	11c	6,566$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.42	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Wizards	11c	6,429$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.31	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards	1c	5,833$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.7	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7701…34debacked Wizards	1c	5,267$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.95	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	12c	5,259$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.04	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards	8c	5,154$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.67	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Wizards	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Wizards	12c	5,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Wizards	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Wizards	11c	4,900$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd97…776cbacked Wizards	15c	4,822$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.72	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards	11c	4,818$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards	4c	4,565$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.82	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7270…debbbacked Wizards	11c	4,440$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards	12c	4,256$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.26	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Wizards	11c	4,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8b…9e6abacked Wizards	13c	3,850$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeea…fc66backed Wizards	11c	3,697$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	14c	3,567$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.64	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Wizards	7c	3,402$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.72	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Wizards	15c	3,400$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16a9…be44backed Wizards	11c	3,250$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.5	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Wizards	12c	3,200$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Wizards	14c	3,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards	1c	3,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda59…e3a5backed Wizards	11c	2,851$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.61	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards	11c	2,500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards	12c	2,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb275…65e2backed Wizards	11c	2,396$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.56	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Wizards	5c	2,208$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.11	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Wizards	11c	2,185$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.32	132	34.8%46 W · 86 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x90cb…c5a9backed Wizards	11c	2,089$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.79	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb45…4972backed Wizards	11c	2,050$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.5	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+4.3wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards	3c	2,000$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards	12c	2,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Wizards	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	190	45.8%87 W · 103 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Wizards	15c	1,774$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.17	228	57.5%131 W · 97 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Wizards	15c	1,692$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.07	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Wizards	11c	1,629$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.14	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards	9c	1,605$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.23	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Wizards	11c	1,600$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Wizards	17c	1,600$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Wizards	13c	1,597$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.56	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7f…70cdbacked Wizards	11c	1,555$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Wizards	14c	1,509$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.26	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards	2c	1,507$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.35	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Wizards	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	194	41.2%80 W · 114 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards	12c	1,500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Wizards	15c	1,443$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.5	93	43%40 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Wizards	12c	1,440$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.86	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb88…81c6backed Wizards	8c	1,432$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.59	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rockets vs. Wizardsthis page
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Over won
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Wizards won
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Wizards won
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Wizards won
Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 10.5No won
Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event