NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5aaebd423dffb1718fb9a9429479d1ba7ace769127b2a0fad35dd09d5bca70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 46c | 20,266$9,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,416.92 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Over | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 6,407$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 6c | 5,287$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.85 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 4,673$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 2,065$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 1,314$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.33 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Over | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 967.92$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.07 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…5009backed Under | 47c | 772$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 51c | 619.05$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.73 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Over | 51c | 537.96$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.96 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 509$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 53c | 470$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 452.53$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Over | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ee…30c1backed Over | 53c | 390$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…1128backed Over | 53c | 382$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 308.75$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 47c | 298.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 53c | 296.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 52c | 285.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Over | 62c | 201.87$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Over | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…2dfabacked Over | 54c | 147.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 40c | 142.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 140.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 131.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 49c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Over | 56c | 89.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 19c | 83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 72.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Over | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 46.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 45.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…ecbfbacked Under | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Under | 50c | 29.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 28.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 22.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 51c | 19.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…ffe9backed Over | 54c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93b…08bebacked Over | 54c | 18.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. WizardsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Wizards won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.