TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,372 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b45…9723backed No69c999.99$690 inLost-$689.9926069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No56c826.98$463 inLost-$463.1195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Yes31c750.11$229 inWon+$521.263432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No57c649.99$373 inLost-$37365762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes42c637.14$268 inWon+$369.615,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Yes31c627.19$194 inWon+$432.764447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf339…2c6ebacked Yes33c605.71$200 inWon+$405.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No67c600$402 inLost-$40290863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No58c468.19$270 inLost-$269.6928842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…4eb0backed Yes31c395.67$124 inWon+$271.672030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No68c337.86$231 inLost-$230.824,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon+$132.569037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7da7…17aabacked Yes31c232.42$72 inWon+$160.421118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No67c184.15$124 inLost-$123.721,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b0…48f3backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon+$44.9311247.3%53 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes32c73.08$23 inWon+$49.6924428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked No68c65$44 inLost-$44.243453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No68c65$44 inLost-$44.222774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes47c53.19$25 inWon+$28.1934849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed No66c49.99$33 inLost-$32.9921672.2%156 W · 60 L+28.6wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No70c45.4$32 inLost-$31.7288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Yes35c30$11 inWon+$19.52544%11 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No58c18.28$11 inLost-$10.62857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.