TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf93d…49e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.08
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.91
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$56.25
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$304.08
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.87
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.08
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.29
Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$49.83
Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$44.76
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.14
1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.55
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$57.39
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+77.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: IK Sirius O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)backed Rangers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.08
AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.72
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$72.2
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)backed Port Vale FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$65.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$53.65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Lamar Cardinals (W)backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$34.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$83.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NK Celje vs. AEK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.