Other European Leagues · resolved market
AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62c27542eda66a8c347c340a68510afd725d2e2b6717466077ed3dff8b64cd96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 38c | 64,261$24,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,841.59 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Under | 62c | 50,000$30,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,998.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 62c | 40,000$24,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,800 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 38c | 8,753$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.38 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 5,641$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 38c | 5,086$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.32 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 2c | 2,856$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.88 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 38c | 1,351$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.84 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 38c | 1,254$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.61 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 703.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.6 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 35c | 571.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.76 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 63c | 521$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.23 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 38c | 455$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 447.15$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.15 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 39c | 336.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Under | 8c | 326.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Over | 39c | 238.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 8c | 200$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 38c | 155$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…5165backed Under | 63c | 153.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 38c | 135$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 39c | 128.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 38c | 115$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 38c | 72.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 39c | 61.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed Under | 61c | 60.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Under | 61c | 60.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Under | 61c | 59.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…49e4backed Under | 61c | 58.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 30c | 49.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Over | 38c | 47.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 55c | 46.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 34c | 46.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 38c | 45.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 38c | 43.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 42c | 39.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…3b8bbacked Over | 39c | 38.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 38c | 34.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 62c | 32.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 23.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5this page
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.