Other European Leagues · resolved market
AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f54a006532698e302ed88e7ee4ca5705a9d5d5e92b5d51b7aeb90a6580433d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,096$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 715.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.4 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 40c | 619.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.78 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a0…e723backed Under | 40c | 595.59$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 522.08$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 39c | 415.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.05 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 38c | 278.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.29 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 216.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 21c | 208.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 22c | 200$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 73c | 198.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 41c | 178.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 172.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 48c | 124.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 49c | 118.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 33c | 101.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 93.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 32c | 85.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 76c | 78.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Over | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 61c | 38.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 67c | 35.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 38c | 32.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Under | 53c | 19.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Over won
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.