Other European Leagues · resolved market
AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec39075fbffce76b5d15819b436c9f737818476235b4f259a9af1e7b8f68032c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 3,719$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 77c | 646.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 19c | 289.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 261.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Under | 22c | 241.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 200.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 131.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 130.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 94.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 81.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 57c | 69.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 75c | 65.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 43c | 62.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 24c | 42.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Over | 72c | 41.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…27fbbacked Over | 70c | 36.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 76c | 33.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…4e3abacked Over | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 39cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 57c | 24.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5this page
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Over won
- AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.