TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa808…3b8b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+121%+$21.69
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$48.1
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$13.94
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.11
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.3
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.85
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.84
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+127.4%+$17.47
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.36
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.66
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$41.82
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.21
AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$9.9
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.93
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.84
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$58.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.34
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.