Champions League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3e76a43c84cfea0c37b6e204a7e4a55485a17cb0e2edf53f2a70d82dc6daf85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $635,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x916f…53babacked Over | 56c | 200,227$112,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,960.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 138,532$60,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,052.19 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…2734backed Over | 59c | 64,372$37,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,495.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 48c | 29,814$14,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,310.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 21,786$8,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,757.36 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Under | 44c | 20,157$8,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,787.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.97 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 42c | 17,253$7,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,256.11 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 48c | 16,516$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 50c | 15,051$7,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,525.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 13,191$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,874.74 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 57c | 13,000$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 10,795$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.59 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 48c | 10,713$5,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092.12 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 42c | 9,200$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.9 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 8,415$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 46c | 6,955$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.21 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 47c | 6,910$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 54c | 4,268$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.97 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 47c | 4,082$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 10c | 4,036$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.06 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Under | 18c | 3,550$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Under | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 46c | 3,259$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.14 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 2,698$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 2,344$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.12 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 55c | 2,289$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.17 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 46c | 2,237$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.52 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 37c | 1,903$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.81 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…5771backed Over | 55c | 1,834$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 56c | 1,632$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.15 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 56c | 1,627$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.79 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 40c | 1,625$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 55c | 1,467$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.15 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 42c | 1,334$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.01 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 42c | 999.42$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.15 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 854$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 44c | 795.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…bd15backed Under | 43c | 770$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Over | 56c | 749.54$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…b24abacked Over | 57c | 749$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…137cbacked Over | 57c | 730$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3287…3dc3backed Under | 43c | 710$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 58c | 701.11$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.81 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 44c | 545.45$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 43c | 540.57$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 37c | 538.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 28c | 488.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 43c | 470$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 45c | 446.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 33c | 440.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 49c | 430$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Under | 43c | 390.72$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 56c | 375.98$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.83 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 49c | 333.78$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 42c | 321.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 66c | 303$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 300.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…eb6ebacked Over | 54c | 277.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 35c | 274.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 57c | 270.15$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 43c | 270$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Over | 56c | 260.43$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…ffa5backed Over | 56c | 254.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 43c | 248$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 244.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccf…7987backed Under | 44c | 219.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…4fe9backed Over | 57c | 201.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 5c | 199.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 55c | 191.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…7fc3backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 61c | 188.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 56c | 179.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 59c | 170.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Under | 41c | 169.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 167$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 44c | 161.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.