Champions League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02aa8da6b8ea8971fcca50cb4c0efaac9bbd800f3d6292a2d0371b10b844d661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 13,412$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.97 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 9c | 12,361$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.76 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Over | 78c | 7,937$6,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Under | 25c | 4,063$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Under | 7c | 3,532$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 2,273$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.36 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 75c | 2,014$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Under | 27c | 1,700$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 21c | 1,245$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.99 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 23c | 1,239$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.06 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 12c | 891.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 75c | 829.72$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.51 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 12c | 696.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 74c | 683.4$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 11c | 682.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 77c | 584.42$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 78c | 421.79$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 417.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 74c | 409.83$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 74c | 404.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Over | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 21c | 379.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 287.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 75c | 286$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 25c | 283.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 7c | 260.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Under | 8c | 245.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 24c | 215$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Over | 75c | 214.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Under | 9c | 210.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 13c | 201.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Over | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 186.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 12c | 166.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Over | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 8c | 142.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…782dbacked Over | 77c | 129.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 8c | 124.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 27c | 107.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 16c | 102$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 73c | 91.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 23c | 89.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 25c | 72.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Under | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 76c | 65.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…1822backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 77c | 63.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 59.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…63d7backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 75c | 31.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…21e7backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Over | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…74c6backed Over | 76c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…fb71backed Over | 75c | 19.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…65a2backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bb…e773backed Over | 76c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.