Champions League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8f6202fb255ed9611708e01d543ad89a3bbdf294a76fcc387f038d23d5cd17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 36c | 55,398$19,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,454.69 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 66c | 54,466$35,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,797.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 25,784$16,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,065.76 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 64c | 23,318$14,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,918.07 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 15,500$8,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,426.77 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 35c | 13,141$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,564.67 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 34c | 11,612$3,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620.39 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 7,288$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.84 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Over | 36c | 6,891$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 36c | 5,819$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 35c | 5,612$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.1 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 64c | 4,828$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.1 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 66c | 3,999$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.61 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 34c | 3,600$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.65 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 34c | 3,121$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.59 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Under | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Under | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 2,675$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 64c | 2,350$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.67 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 65c | 2,303$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 64c | 1,775$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.51 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 33c | 1,557$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.35 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 34c | 1,285$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.45 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 64c | 1,201$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.49 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 34c | 1,102$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.73 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 47c | 1,059$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.04 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 65c | 1,024$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.49 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 32c | 905$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.44 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 34c | 863.74$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.74 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 68c | 748.53$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 709.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 34c | 700$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 79c | 641.21$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Over | 34c | 629.26$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.31 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 67c | 611.04$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 34c | 598.21$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.82 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 568$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.2 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 63c | 555.55$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 32c | 510$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 55c | 507.69$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 36c | 430.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.88 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aff…5f17backed Under | 66c | 402.02$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Over | 34c | 360.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 35c | 346.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Over | 68c | 316.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…14a5backed Under | 65c | 310.08$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 34c | 304.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.35 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 36c | 302$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 64c | 296.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 63c | 295.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 34c | 270$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 34c | 261.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.76 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Under | 66c | 253$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 65c | 247$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 34c | 230$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 44c | 226$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 29c | 225.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 34c | 225$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 62c | 180$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 33c | 173.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Under | 67c | 161.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under | 63c | 158.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…6176backed Under | 64c | 157.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…13aabacked Under | 64c | 156.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…b817backed Under | 64c | 155.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 36c | 153.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 67c | 149.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 69c | 144.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 144.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 34c | 139.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 40c | 118.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.