TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e29…9e66backed No53c5,013$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.254139%16 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c3,640$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.241,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes47c3,633$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.8426645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No53c3,321$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76010733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes50c2,802$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.7412344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked Yes46c2,350$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Yes47c1,274$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.441060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes47c1,181$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.852763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No26c1,073$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9216036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.416253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19bc…a66abacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes48c888$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.544447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No53c810$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.6243427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No49c799.96$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.981926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes48c734.46$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.2526047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed No54c722.78$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.351118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-68.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No51c686.26$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.998146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Yes47c624$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+153.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes47c529.42$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.4214145.4%64 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c519.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.691,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3253250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26038253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes49c499.96$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9816349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes46c465.66$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0739743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No15c403.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20838748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.165655.4%31 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.168556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes48c357.65$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5259741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes44c305.45$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1717133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed No10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.126065%39 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes50c264$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No52c258$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.445448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked No6c246.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.831414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes48c242.96$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.345322.6%12 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005253.8%28 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No51c197.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.111,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked No51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009739.2%38 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes46c165.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0542438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721c…1c15backed No63c147.37$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x677f…1c6ebacked No11c143.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-78.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes52c142.24$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.283565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes43c133$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8160136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607667.1%51 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x172c…94b0backed No54c118.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes50c117.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.961973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548341%34 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504040%16 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed No53c95.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed No54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes50c88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2729350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed No52c76.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.763060%18 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18fe…af43backed Yes47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.11566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Yes50c60.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.595547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No53c60.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdaf…7556backed Yes45c59.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked No52c59.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked No54c54.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.461656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Yes48c53.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8512352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed No51c48.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258349.4%41 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+60%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked No51c47.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71ab…0af0backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3a5…ea0cbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes48c39.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.776350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No52c38.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9822647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa840…117dbacked No51c38.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed No53c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.997842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca75…6c97backed Yes49c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.852828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5563…3a69backed Yes50c34.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed No52c34.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.853030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Yes47c34.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.044163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Yes45c33.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c74…c89ebacked Yes50c33.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f6…db91backed Yes50c29.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0865050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca4…817ebacked Yes50c28.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6510…b225backed No51c28.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked No53c28.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb5…0c15backed No51c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa143…48b3backed Yes50c27.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa695…c8a4backed No56c26.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Yes47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.531553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabaa…62a5backed Yes47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Yes50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes48c24.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.997454.1%40 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.