Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3429a82e14422bf2b097e07c159e58b1e362b6e2a44a29332ec72ccee9e766d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $601,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 59c | 176,262$103,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,554.33 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 59c | 127,912$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x916f…53babacked Under | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,999.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Under | 45c | 75,931$33,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,965.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 72,933$30,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,923.84 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 59c | 45,636$26,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,834.4 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 31,563$13,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,636.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Under | 41c | 24,400$10,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,396 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 55c | 15,900$8,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,745 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 42c | 13,088$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,598.65 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 11,714$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,911.4 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Under | 42c | 10,400$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 55c | 8,200$4,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,538.28 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 6,468$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.97 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Under | 41c | 3,700$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 3,686$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.11 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 54c | 2,484$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.66 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Under | 41c | 2,480$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Under | 41c | 2,238$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 2,186$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.13 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 2,124$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.92 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 45c | 1,948$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.67 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Under | 44c | 1,939$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 1,740$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.55 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 41c | 1,585$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.37 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 55c | 1,296$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.9 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 41c | 1,259$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.62 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 59c | 1,084$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.7 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 58c | 877$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.66 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 781$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.59 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 55c | 740.68$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.17 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 56c | 688$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 57c | 675.21$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.87 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 59c | 624$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.16 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 49c | 615.29$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.44 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 500.02$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.35 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 41c | 462.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.1 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 462.61$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Under | 76c | 439.98$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 58c | 431.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 56c | 343$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…5e6bbacked Over | 59c | 338.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 58c | 269.1$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Over | 48c | 260.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Over | 58c | 256.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…4e52backed Over | 59c | 254.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…a700backed Over | 59c | 242.78$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 45c | 225.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 21c | 220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 47c | 199.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under | 46c | 197.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 188.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…884cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…a58abacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…2660backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 42c | 162.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 59c | 149.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 59c | 144.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 43c | 136$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 44c | 132.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.