TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c25,120$13,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,136.936,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under20c8,386$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,718.732,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under49c6,396$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.955752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5503630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over20c4,900$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over80c3,774$3,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.923360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over45c3,332$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over20c2,300$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.979055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over80c1,930$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54413565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over53c1,900$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9930645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67526548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9910924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c1,450$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.884,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over80c1,385$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.172475%18 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over68c1,200$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8164052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over52c1,086$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.721040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over45c971.11$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4374924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under63c950.55$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.652,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over9c870$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over24c840.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a8…0e31backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under65c767.3$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.5946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over51c719$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.694235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over73c684.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over45c668.27$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.724645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over19c630.04$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over62c625.71$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.871353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over40c490$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Under21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1919426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over80c471.76$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.4115060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over50c446.45$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.234850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Under26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c391.31$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.851,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over51c389.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.419259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under40c379.44$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.664468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over80c375.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3315263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over67c328.36$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over34c314.06$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.781346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over50c304$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over68c293.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Under19c263.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.151533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over51c247.38$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1614128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x723c…30d3backed Over6c226$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over33c213.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over51c210.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5910533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over45c209.04$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.074037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1385056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over63c200$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12511839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027341.1%30 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over10c199.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c190.72$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.461,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over80c187.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under24c178.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.574650%23 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over57c175.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over51c172.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over59c169.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805932.2%19 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c149.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7525550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over57c131.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…b817backed Over79c126.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under38c119.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1674156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a22…5692backed Under32c115.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked Over28c114.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a94…b06bbacked Over74c105.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.11963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261040%4 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+93.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4759645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Under20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808847.7%42 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Over80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over16c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Over44c99.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9910733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Over43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.72552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Over78c89.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Over52c89.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.651353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0247…bb07backed Over57c88.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over31c83.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7313…2596backed Over78c79.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over65c77.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504553.3%24 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.19per pick72cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over66c74.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.252972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under19c70$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.71,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over65c69.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.52171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Over54c64.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under60c62.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.