CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ecefb9d59d1004703ae3fa9e448f2ffebf86b550f7249914ed560744acdd6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ENCEof 100 Thieves, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 3,843$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.56 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ENCE | 68c | 1,519$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ENCE | 61c | 1,400$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.04 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed ENCE | 57c | 1,006$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.89 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ENCE | 54c | 946.25$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.67 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ENCE | 49c | 800$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 628.75$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.64 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ENCE | 45c | 621.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.09 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 561.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 456.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed ENCE | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed ENCE | 51c | 329.41$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.41 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed ENCE | 34c | 321.74$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.35 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 313.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ENCE | 55c | 248.96$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed ENCE | 72c | 220.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…e59abacked ENCE | 53c | 220$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked ENCE | 51c | 196.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed ENCE | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 182.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 155.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed ENCE | 58c | 140.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 133.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ENCE | 35c | 125$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked ENCE | 51c | 116.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 111.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…8b06backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 104.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed ENCE | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ENCE | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed ENCE | 55c | 97.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 89.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…0e63backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ENCE | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…8535backed ENCE | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…3b8bbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 38.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed ENCE | 67c | 37.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…24d5backed ENCE | 80c | 21.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsENCE won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE - Map 2 WinnerENCE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs ENCE (+1.5)ENCE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.