CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a8cd43924f1c6f5e53a7a874302d58dd9819cdc5cc5edbd0f26029263375d09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ENCEof 100 Thieves, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ec…5348backed ENCE | 51c | 4,665$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.15 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 1,520$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.2 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 1,487$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.99 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 1,238$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.08 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ENCE | 53c | 1,209$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,196$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.96 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 985.98$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.77 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 833.97$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.46 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 633.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 615$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked ENCE | 32c | 612.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ENCE | 44c | 603.65$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.99 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed ENCE | 58c | 550$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed ENCE | 55c | 545.64$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.62 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed ENCE | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 422.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ENCE | 60c | 398.29$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 394.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed ENCE | 38c | 390$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed ENCE | 31c | 320$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 260$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked ENCE | 48c | 229$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 215$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked ENCE | 54c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 181.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 152.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 145$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 143.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 117.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked ENCE | 63c | 112.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed ENCE | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed ENCE | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed ENCE | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ENCE | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ENCE | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked ENCE | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ENCE | 76c | 48.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…8535backed ENCE | 28c | 40.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ENCE | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ENCE | 53c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 25.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…0468backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…baeebacked ENCE | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked ENCE | 53c | 21.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsENCE won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE - Map 1 WinnerENCE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs ENCE (+1.5)ENCE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.