Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8233dc44cff5a18fd3ad80393246fe6bd5aa4b952b90475a07ba4b2e9beebc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Team Liquid, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 36c | 85,362$30,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,889.74 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 63c | 61,614$38,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,810.71 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed PARIVISION | 36c | 21,192$7,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,615.73 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 12,126$7,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,203.8 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 68c | 11,809$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 67c | 11,111$7,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,444.36 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 38c | 8,781$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,468.29 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed PARIVISION | 15c | 8,496$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.08 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 8,483$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.35 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 7,900$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.16 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 30c | 7,039$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.1 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed PARIVISION | 29c | 6,778$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,818.28 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 23c | 6,675$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,121.88 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed PARIVISION | 32c | 6,125$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.38 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 5,873$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.99 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Liquid | 65c | 5,348$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.55 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Liquid | 66c | 5,101$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.86 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 49c | 5,036$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.48 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid | 66c | 4,948$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.1 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed PARIVISION | 12c | 4,171$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.71 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 31c | 3,192$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.35 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…030abacked Team Liquid | 67c | 2,862$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION | 39c | 2,770$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.44 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked PARIVISION | 19c | 2,379$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.31 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 51c | 2,192$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.08 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 2,127$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.52 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Team Liquid | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed PARIVISION | 33c | 1,803$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.43 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,775$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.76 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,604$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,534$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,511$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked PARIVISION | 45c | 1,448$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.51 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked PARIVISION | 32c | 1,406$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.25 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,379$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.03 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 35c | 1,307$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.53 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 1,209$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.16 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed PARIVISION | 35c | 1,152$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.6 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,100$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 29c | 1,048$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.99 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed PARIVISION | 62c | 1,046$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.56 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed PARIVISION | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed PARIVISION | 32c | 999.95$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.9 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 63c | 914$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.96 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid | 58c | 896$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.69 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 875.59$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.4 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Liquid | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 19c | 812.77$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.49 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 809.89$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.08 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Team Liquid | 20c | 807.68$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 68c | 778.72$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.21 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed PARIVISION | 15c | 756.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.23 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked PARIVISION | 25c | 739.36$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.52 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed PARIVISION | 33c | 734.93$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.88 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Liquid | 67c | 700$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid | 72c | 691.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PARIVISION | 33c | 680$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.6 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid | 68c | 670.63$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.69 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION | 19c | 654.84$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.71 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid | 42c | 630.54$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Team Liquid | 65c | 629.96$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed PARIVISION | 10c | 624.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.03 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Liquid | 4c | 621.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…9e92backed Team Liquid | 65c | 620.62$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid | 70c | 614.42$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Liquid | 66c | 612.24$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.08 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…ea16backed Team Liquid | 67c | 603.06$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 570.9$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.43 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Team Liquid | 69c | 529.88$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 16c | 515.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.63 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Liquid | 64c | 512.5$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Team Liquid | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.34 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed PARIVISION | 38c | 496.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.18 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed PARIVISION | 59c | 489.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 486.91$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.91 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 467.92$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.96 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 32c | 451.33$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.05 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…a1dcbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 451.03$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed PARIVISION | 45c | 449.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.9 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 33c | 443.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.64 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Team Liquid | 62c | 440$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed PARIVISION | 51c | 438.9$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed Team Liquid | 78c | 438.71$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…68b8backed Team Liquid | 65c | 430.77$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed PARIVISION | 12c | 416.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.83 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…e1dcbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed PARIVISION | 12c | 397.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 350$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.25 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…6e27backed Team Liquid | 31c | 342$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Team Liquid | 65c | 330.17$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PARIVISION | 33c | 322.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed Team Liquid | 50c | 304.12$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Team Liquid | 66c | 303.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Team Liquid | 64c | 302.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed PARIVISION | 14c | 300$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.06 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.