Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd596a2ca9b01392c18b0aebb41da87704c622d0df4ac474ba462165cb81523a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 47c | 3,407$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.55 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,727$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 1,226$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.89 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 183.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 56c | 151.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 88.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…6d84backed Over | 48c | 61.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Under | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 54c | 41.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…2750backed Over | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Under | 53c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed Under | 54c | 27.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Over | 44c | 25.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…3b8bbacked Over | 49c | 23.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 46c | 21.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 145.5this page
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah UtesIowa State Cyclones won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 142.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-12.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-13.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-14.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.