Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21d9c101168c6c31f7ccbc2abcbae9f444c627b074d3a82083d84a43a48cc73d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 48c | 9,642$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,669.22 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…a1f8backed Under | 51c | 8,878$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 50c | 2,636$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.46 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 2,144$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 774.86$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.02 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 704.29$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.71 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 48c | 615.51$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 49c | 603.42$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.05 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 499$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 305.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…f5c7backed Over | 51c | 293.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 198.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 127.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 109.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 91.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 83.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed Under | 50c | 81.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 47c | 61.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 54c | 57.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 51c | 57.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 50c | 52.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Under | 50c | 52.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 51c | 42.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 39.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Under | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 27.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Over | 51c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 25.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 24.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 144.5this page
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah UtesIowa State Cyclones won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 142.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-12.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-13.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-14.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.