Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x900ae0fbaa0a45775d98041c24fe8deb7bd6143f502ca40b4785f57605b73511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa State Cyclones, Utah Utes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah Utes | 8c | 2,432$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Utah Utes | 11c | 1,149$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Utah Utes | 8c | 816.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Utah Utes | 10c | 629.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Utah Utes | 9c | 553.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Utah Utes | 11c | 545.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Utah Utes | 13c | 500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Utah Utes | 10c | 498.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Utah Utes | 7c | 423.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Utah Utes | 11c | 399.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Utah Utes | 7c | 396.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah Utes | 7c | 392.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Utah Utes | 9c | 339.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Utah Utes | 10c | 224.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Utah Utes | 11c | 199.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Utah Utes | 10c | 199.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0f4ebacked Utah Utes | 10c | 199.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…d6aebacked Utah Utes | 11c | 199.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Utah Utes | 8c | 189.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Utah Utes | 10c | 169.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed Utah Utes | 11c | 109.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah Utes | 12c | 99.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utesthis page
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 142.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 144.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-12.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-13.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-14.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.