Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2408fbf98c717be9980ab95c554893960ad24ba326ee44b9a7bfbf41fb83274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa State Cyclones, Utah Utes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Utah Utes | 48c | 5,955$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.46 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Iowa State Cyclones | 52c | 5,458$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.07 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah Utes | 47c | 4,713$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah Utes | 47c | 3,367$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.15 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Iowa State Cyclones | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 54c | 1,839$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.7 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 1,122$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 999.92$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.96 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah Utes | 48c | 924.61$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Utah Utes | 48c | 678.13$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.83 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iowa State Cyclones | 52c | 502.57$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Iowa State Cyclones | 54c | 458.92$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 336.66$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 226.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah Utes | 47c | 158.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 148.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Utah Utes | 47c | 127.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 113.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Iowa State Cyclones | 48c | 102.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Utah Utes | 48c | 51.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…4eaabacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 40.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Utes | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah Utes | 55c | 30.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…5d05backed Utah Utes | 48c | 23.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-13.5)this page
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah UtesIowa State Cyclones won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 142.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 144.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-12.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-14.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.