TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof Weibo Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$474,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$544,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 440 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d36…68fdbacked Weibo Gaming63c16,025$10,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,120.1325751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked Top Esports44c12,160$5,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,828.9520354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Weibo Gaming51c10,083$5,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,153.7769756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed Weibo Gaming1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Top Esports29c8,973$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,392.132,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Weibo Gaming70c8,585$6,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,042.6811140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Weibo Gaming62c8,045$4,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,988.131153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Top Esports38c8,036$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,982.516237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Weibo Gaming65c7,559$4,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,913.666552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports37c6,841$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,340.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Weibo Gaming60c6,836$4,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,115.631,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Top Esports68c5,982$4,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.481143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Top Esports45c5,413$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9961,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdc…2454backed Weibo Gaming50c5,249$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.52714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-73.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee8f…74b5backed Weibo Gaming60c5,127$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.96349.2%31 W · 32 L-9.2wins-0.15per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Top Esports50c4,697$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.051,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…6554backed Weibo Gaming56c4,406$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea63…682cbacked Weibo Gaming65c4,143$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.2111440.4%46 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Top Esports54c4,111$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.3367276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Top Esports37c4,064$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.8266437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4918…8573backed Top Esports50c3,919$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.291050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Top Esports79c3,766$2,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.4540651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7986…56afbacked Weibo Gaming56c3,714$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc144…abc7backed Top Esports38c3,700$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2943514.3%5 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed Weibo Gaming57c3,572$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.5521028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed Weibo Gaming46c3,572$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.119149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89c1…ea0dbacked Weibo Gaming67c3,287$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.23650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Top Esports68c3,186$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.6625446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Top Esports69c3,184$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.6810450%52 W · 52 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Weibo Gaming62c3,117$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.5214056.4%79 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Weibo Gaming63c3,100$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9541,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd6…96c4backed Weibo Gaming7c3,019$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.911154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Weibo Gaming58c2,903$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.71,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Top Esports45c2,663$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.231,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e23…761dbacked Weibo Gaming55c2,500$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.8320537.6%77 W · 128 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Top Esports39c2,474$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.6315829.1%46 W · 112 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59c3…d391backed Top Esports50c2,450$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+85.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bcf…dff4backed Weibo Gaming50c2,450$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Top Esports36c2,395$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.8382352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Weibo Gaming9c2,300$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20994134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Weibo Gaming64c2,289$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.1125236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Top Esports30c2,137$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.9863546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332f…1ee8backed Top Esports43c2,122$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.28046.3%37 W · 43 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Weibo Gaming73c2,076$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.6518971.4%135 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1375…a070backed Top Esports50c2,003$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed Weibo Gaming50c2,003$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Top Esports39c2,000$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.972254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Weibo Gaming53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Weibo Gaming5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Weibo Gaming62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.9979653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e2…0064backed Top Esports27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.995632.1%18 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Top Esports38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.9942050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Top Esports35c2,000$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Top Esports44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9813040.8%53 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Top Esports37c1,942$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.031,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Weibo Gaming67c1,931$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.752,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Top Esports31c1,897$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.2318451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Weibo Gaming56c1,874$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.2885652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Weibo Gaming55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Top Esports48c1,800$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93611434.2%39 W · 75 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Top Esports44c1,769$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.1628827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed Weibo Gaming36c1,700$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.9311631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Top Esports38c1,700$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9949549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Top Esports40c1,654$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.571,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Weibo Gaming56c1,643$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.910352.4%54 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1965…2c2dbacked Top Esports40c1,625$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9924328.8%70 W · 173 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Weibo Gaming17c1,600$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27218744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Weibo Gaming43c1,600$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68497427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Weibo Gaming65c1,600$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.982,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Top Esports44c1,590$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.424147.3%114 W · 127 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12cb…8210backed Weibo Gaming56c1,574$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Top Esports30c1,572$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.2617744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed Top Esports39c1,537$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.8748533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Weibo Gaming5c1,533$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.995833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Weibo Gaming56c1,500$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.0613946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x894e…edfcbacked Top Esports39c1,494$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Weibo Gaming8c1,450$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.714936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Weibo Gaming67c1,437$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.831,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Weibo Gaming4c1,400$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6217410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Top Esports50c1,330$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.231250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Top Esports38c1,328$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.5913658.8%80 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Top Esports38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7924858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Weibo Gaming67c1,300$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.4463161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Top Esports43c1,290$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.7943151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Top Esports49c1,247$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.2255639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Top Esports47c1,234$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.9976953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f06…9af4backed Weibo Gaming62c1,200$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.855162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dcf…6cc3backed Weibo Gaming45c1,170$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.571770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Weibo Gaming60c1,166$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.61,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x829b…4892backed Weibo Gaming22c1,147$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.825853.4%31 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Top Esports36c1,147$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.3678050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Top Esports73c1,117$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.011,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Top Esports45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.112326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad50…81a8backed Weibo Gaming60c1,100$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.976056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Top Esports50c1,057$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.845248%217 W · 235 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Top Esports39c1,035$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.813554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Top Esports31c1,034$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.0212454%67 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Weibo Gaming2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202323.9%9 W · 223 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Top Esports23c999.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.991,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Top Esports37c999.96$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9821954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.