TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under22c10,270$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.481,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Over78c2,896$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.155757.9%33 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Over77c2,432$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.115166.2%100 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under23c1,853$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.411,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under24c1,670$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.844335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0093…be88backed Over78c1,574$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2817454.6%95 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over78c1,043$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4639749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c5…d432backed Over77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.481533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over78c513.26$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9213136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8213960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under26c503.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2212934.9%45 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Over77c480.52$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.521070%7 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc9…93b4backed Over75c441.03$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.032142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Under23c435$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.054252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Under23c366$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1816935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Over77c333$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5920764.3%133 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Over78c323.17$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.119244.3%85 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6612437.9%47 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ead…5c81backed Over80c248.33$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.081050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Over78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4442835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.325347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over77c183$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0925764.2%165 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over65c143.71$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.21,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Over78c141.24$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over61c136.37$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.342,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ca8…6c04backed Over78c132.38$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e0…0586backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8712362.6%77 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over63c129.65$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8335223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.216864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x143c…88b9backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2127848.2%134 W · 144 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf188…6eadbacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510239.2%40 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60d…ad79backed Over78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44374.4%32 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Over77c116.79$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.795437%20 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Over69c112.3$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9448143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under24c109.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7789810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0dd…19e1backed Over77c103.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a3…9b84backed Over78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.561471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204e…55eabacked Over76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246956.5%39 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d1…461cbacked Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231275%9 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49a…f498backed Over77c90.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x802e…adf4backed Over78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.924961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd592…d3e3backed Over72c72.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick67cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f74…b40ebacked Over77c68.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Under47c67.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220245%91 W · 111 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Over75c66.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8756060.4%338 W · 222 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d20…e6a5backed Over76c65.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa085…7fccbacked Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9417159.6%102 W · 69 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ce…3280backed Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8737…a732backed Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3216…aa16backed Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b2…4951backed Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4445…09a3backed Over75c55.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.861145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x289b…178cbacked Over76c54.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.875259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5e…81ebbacked Over79c53.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.041353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Over77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.952951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5a…ff90backed Over78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.286262.9%39 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74c…3c3ebacked Over78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Over77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.542751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8936…5e59backed Over78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Under31c48.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.149538.9%37 W · 58 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x755d…06a9backed Over78c46.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.153141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed Over78c45.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1279973.3%586 W · 213 L+45.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under36c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.762,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over63c40.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0124356%136 W · 107 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x433a…38e5backed Over76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66946.4%32 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under36c38.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9922955.5%127 W · 102 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc4…052abacked Over78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce0…d57fbacked Over78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.463060%18 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d4…1e34backed Over78c35.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.923756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…3942backed Over77c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.598760.9%53 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99ad…064ebacked Over60c32.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.165054%27 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7994…c8c3backed Over78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.053966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x820f…0ddcbacked Over78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.052462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7da1…cd7bbacked Over66c30.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.08875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.461,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over61c29.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.256535.4%23 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+44.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ba4…9d89backed Over78c28.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9949…1d0cbacked Over75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc30…8780backed Over63c26.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.757646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eec…89babacked Over77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b64…a66abacked Over77c25.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6411855.9%66 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb52…8046backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3810…2d5fbacked Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b6a…1ec2backed Over78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1692…0b9cbacked Over78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf50d…4f5fbacked Over76c19.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd777…daf8backed Over78c19.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabd…54fcbacked Over78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Over78c18.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba7…6c85backed Over78c17.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.922560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…c8aabacked Over78c14.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.293100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3024…8ecebacked Over77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.991384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.