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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Xtreme Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,131 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8375…ba1dbacked Xtreme Gaming47c28,375$13,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,336.423154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BetBoom Team52c20,386$10,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,705.762231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…dbe6backed Xtreme Gaming0c11,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305151%26 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Xtreme Gaming5c10,618$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.2965625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed BetBoom Team48c10,000$4,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,243.3133746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Xtreme Gaming51c9,161$4,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,660.4455157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming49c8,167$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.2696557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Xtreme Gaming42c6,809$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.7715047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed BetBoom Team53c5,897$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.0132854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed BetBoom Team49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5508242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb37a…1aa1backed Xtreme Gaming15c3,400$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.191637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked BetBoom Team54c3,385$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.9312948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming45c3,130$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.812,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed BetBoom Team49c3,031$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.919148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Xtreme Gaming48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44033850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed BetBoom Team53c2,943$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.36850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4cd…4dd1backed BetBoom Team78c2,413$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.762556%14 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team50c2,408$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.7254556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41cc…adc7backed Xtreme Gaming23c2,360$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.244045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf597…efeebacked Xtreme Gaming5c2,182$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.559223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed BetBoom Team54c1,854$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.5721264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming5c1,757$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9917353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed Xtreme Gaming50c1,728$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8645446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6503…0c3dbacked Xtreme Gaming32c1,669$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.238461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Xtreme Gaming52c1,612$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.3415946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Xtreme Gaming48c1,551$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.5322954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed BetBoom Team52c1,518$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.669959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Xtreme Gaming7c1,354$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016641.6%69 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c52…e75fbacked Xtreme Gaming9c1,337$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7113732.8%45 W · 92 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed BetBoom Team75c1,330$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6321346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming40c1,275$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.991,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed BetBoom Team52c1,188$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.241947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BetBoom Team47c1,039$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.1664744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming53c1,017$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.812,83443.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L-39.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Xtreme Gaming43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.565052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Xtreme Gaming36c1,000$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.49557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked BetBoom Team46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9138049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Xtreme Gaming51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed BetBoom Team53c916.61$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.9735957.7%207 W · 152 L+25.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Xtreme Gaming34c885.7$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.177830.8%24 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming50c840$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.5578141.2%322 W · 459 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked BetBoom Team50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40088166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2371454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xac5d…d45fbacked Xtreme Gaming24c699.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.499535.8%34 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Xtreme Gaming3c693.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021751.6%112 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a6…8fb7backed BetBoom Team76c672.43$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed Xtreme Gaming44c652.38$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.557143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed BetBoom Team75c623.5$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6219664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Xtreme Gaming49c615.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Xtreme Gaming3c605.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29479959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked BetBoom Team49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3063237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74e9…7269backed Xtreme Gaming6c599.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354717%8 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Xtreme Gaming33c569.17$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18615643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Xtreme Gaming10c529.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1963032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed BetBoom Team53c504.98$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3423459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed BetBoom Team52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0511346.9%53 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked Xtreme Gaming41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3814058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BetBoom Team50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25058744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Xtreme Gaming55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27536054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Xtreme Gaming50c498$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9680942.6%345 W · 464 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed BetBoom Team48c475.59$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5510134.7%35 W · 66 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Xtreme Gaming52c475.15$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6522051.4%113 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed BetBoom Team45c440.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0619552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked BetBoom Team73c437.71$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.337456.4%211 W · 163 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Xtreme Gaming24c435.25$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.468432.1%27 W · 57 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed BetBoom Team47c427.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.3531245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming47c423.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9153844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed BetBoom Team49c406.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.49053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed BetBoom Team51c392.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.371,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming52c384.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20087645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cc…b18bbacked BetBoom Team78c384.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed BetBoom Team53c379.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.791526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming19c356.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.452,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4169…5d25backed Xtreme Gaming43c350$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1493231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked BetBoom Team47c333.5$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.377458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed BetBoom Team45c326.67$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6733645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming38c315.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2355457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked BetBoom Team51c313.17$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.828750.6%44 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c9…6b8bbacked Xtreme Gaming20c305.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010950.5%55 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Xtreme Gaming42c300$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15631545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Xtreme Gaming28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.517149.7%85 W · 86 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e5…993cbacked Xtreme Gaming26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f3e…50debacked Xtreme Gaming15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked BetBoom Team47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15992156.5%520 W · 401 L+78.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked BetBoom Team70c299$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.938255.2%211 W · 171 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Xtreme Gaming52c297.7$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed BetBoom Team51c292.98$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.296546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d33…7287backed Xtreme Gaming14c283.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Xtreme Gaming51c264.71$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked BetBoom Team52c264.14$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.535955.9%33 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed Xtreme Gaming50c257.41$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1623957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Xtreme Gaming15c250.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8712252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BetBoom Team48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Xtreme Gaming51c236.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.822931%9 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming39c234.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2566662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed BetBoom Team49c234.69$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.691258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.