TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xtreme Gamingof BetBoom Team, Xtreme Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming48c48,433$23,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,180.762,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked BetBoom Team50c46,334$23,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,1673154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed BetBoom Team51c22,000$11,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,173.7433746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked BetBoom Team54c11,185$6,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,076.5355157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Xtreme Gaming43c10,104$4,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,716.6510741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team47c6,107$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming49c6,011$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.1286949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Xtreme Gaming50c6,007$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.7234051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team69c5,345$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.9796557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming53c4,310$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.532854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed Xtreme Gaming46c3,327$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.537143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming50c3,020$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.6185851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming35c2,949$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.911,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Xtreme Gaming20c2,557$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.5565625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41cc…adc7backed BetBoom Team56c2,477$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.224045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed BetBoom Team3c2,000$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00021264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7f…c092backed BetBoom Team4c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Xtreme Gaming50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming53c1,978$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.4413045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming33c1,904$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.9617353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Xtreme Gaming50c1,835$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.3615946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed BetBoom Team53c1,722$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.261457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed BetBoom Team51c1,637$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.635446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming42c1,523$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.0266662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbdda…2408backed BetBoom Team1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cad…6ce4backed BetBoom Team74c1,478$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.811850%9 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team56c1,418$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.931,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed BetBoom Team71c1,373$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.134468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming50c1,314$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.7360349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Xtreme Gaming54c1,297$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.049959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked BetBoom Team48c1,165$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.6912948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Xtreme Gaming50c1,125$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5515653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Xtreme Gaming50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5509557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Xtreme Gaming52c1,045$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.5580742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a5…caa6backed Xtreme Gaming45c1,001$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.684841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed BetBoom Team1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming52c999.98$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9958744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed BetBoom Team75c880.99$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65741655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming28c806.71$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.6271454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c52…e75fbacked Xtreme Gaming33c699.82$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.4113732.8%45 W · 92 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Xtreme Gaming47c691.16$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.8236851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Xtreme Gaming45c670$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.331245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Xtreme Gaming54c651$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.932250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked BetBoom Team47c640$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.888166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed BetBoom Team47c627.3$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.8342650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed BetBoom Team50c623.67$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.423459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Xtreme Gaming50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed BetBoom Team15c588.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6216821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BetBoom Team58c588.84$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.112,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming37c579.93$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.962,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Xtreme Gaming55c546.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6725457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked Xtreme Gaming48c527$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8114058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed BetBoom Team46c508.53$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.715452.6%81 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Xtreme Gaming59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.478957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb0…8ababacked BetBoom Team48c508.34$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2433638.9%14 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…89d0backed BetBoom Team53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654967.3%33 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed BetBoom Team73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36545061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Xtreme Gaming62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19036054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Xtreme Gaming41c462.61$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0921851.8%113 W · 105 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming39c460$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.41,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53a…1a88backed Xtreme Gaming23c417$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked BetBoom Team47c395.29$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7829548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming56c355.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2855457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed BetBoom Team57c352.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team64c321.72$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.371,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x476e…00a9backed BetBoom Team60c320$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb37a…1aa1backed BetBoom Team73c318.98$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked BetBoom Team48c313.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9353844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Xtreme Gaming40c300$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.265052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14131545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20761548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed Xtreme Gaming46c288.86$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4536051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3952…c2b4backed Xtreme Gaming54c285$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.12157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e0…ac15backed BetBoom Team46c285$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.11369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+63.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming51c278.72$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2252243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6503…0c3dbacked Xtreme Gaming23c273.29$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.438461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c9…6b8bbacked Xtreme Gaming34c252.85$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8510950.5%55 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Xtreme Gaming31c250$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88b5…539abacked BetBoom Team56c243.53$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.472751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c7…24c2backed BetBoom Team69c236.32$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0613061.5%80 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Xtreme Gaming44c222.73$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7311845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming53c215.35$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.681,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming35c212.66$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5674549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Xtreme Gaming53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7953757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked BetBoom Team51c199.52$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028543.5%37 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Xtreme Gaming51c196.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4172154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked BetBoom Team69c195.33$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8926958.7%158 W · 111 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Xtreme Gaming52c191.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3826957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6864149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Xtreme Gaming30c184.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9424345.3%110 W · 133 L+15.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Xtreme Gaming50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked BetBoom Team71c175.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0137456.4%211 W · 163 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Xtreme Gaming49c171.57$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.55042%21 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab6…ee04backed Xtreme Gaming30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed BetBoom Team70c165.22$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1323957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44fc…9728backed Xtreme Gaming19c160$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.341560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78db…4d37backed BetBoom Team50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4867…e1dcbacked Xtreme Gaming50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d33…7287backed Xtreme Gaming28c145.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.264746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.