TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof JD Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$605,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$710,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Top Esports20c55,212$11,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,240.71,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed JD Gaming73c15,227$11,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,101.491,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports38c14,000$5,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,349.983,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked JD Gaming67c13,674$9,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,512.446552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed JD Gaming64c13,601$8,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,884.8925547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Top Esports12c12,880$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.0210446.2%48 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed JD Gaming78c12,012$9,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.1225446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed Top Esports0c11,203$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21242.4%3 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-95.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Top Esports17c10,063$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.4918451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f4…3421backed Top Esports0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106033.3%20 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03f…9429backed Top Esports12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20014324.5%35 W · 108 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Top Esports34c9,427$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.9582352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed JD Gaming63c9,319$5,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,435.1325546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Top Esports13c8,744$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.721,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Top Esports1c8,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Top Esports29c7,489$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15017949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Top Esports24c7,283$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.6442050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Top Esports31c6,769$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.1439239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Top Esports35c5,692$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00076639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Top Esports13c5,000$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.4514041.4%58 W · 82 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Top Esports9c4,800$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41097427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Top Esports32c4,371$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.6885652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed JD Gaming68c4,319$2,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.331,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Top Esports37c4,082$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.4325751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Top Esports37c4,062$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed Top Esports26c4,011$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.039439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked JD Gaming78c3,504$2,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.172,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Top Esports32c3,500$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9949940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Top Esports25c3,438$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.061,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Top Esports33c3,367$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11159248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Top Esports26c3,289$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.6740651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed JD Gaming67c3,192$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.361,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x333f…f198backed Top Esports6c3,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked JD Gaming63c2,698$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.413441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked JD Gaming68c2,640$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.222,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Top Esports33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82530321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked JD Gaming68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80024858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Top Esports25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.6448440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…f591backed JD Gaming62c2,451$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed JD Gaming78c2,451$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0112055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked JD Gaming75c2,299$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.5517826.4%47 W · 131 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked Top Esports31c2,271$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.995042%21 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed JD Gaming64c2,235$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.681,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Top Esports3c2,100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Top Esports33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66075942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Top Esports5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e6b…b4b4backed Top Esports19c2,000$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-85.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked JD Gaming64c1,971$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.341,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f46…d320backed JD Gaming64c1,872$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb478…9e67backed Top Esports14c1,867$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.97837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f5…7b42backed Top Esports11c1,835$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed JD Gaming63c1,732$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.251,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked Top Esports34c1,690$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.9215731.2%49 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea63…682cbacked Top Esports14c1,605$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5811440.4%46 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…3f7bbacked JD Gaming64c1,601$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.53875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed JD Gaming68c1,600$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.8449549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fed5backed JD Gaming80c1,600$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32216660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed JD Gaming62c1,572$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.5112661.1%77 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Top Esports40c1,501$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.544843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Top Esports33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49510937.6%41 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Top Esports11c1,494$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.641,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed JD Gaming67c1,492$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.2143542.8%186 W · 249 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e78…29d0backed Top Esports37c1,346$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1924248.3%117 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Top Esports32c1,275$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9926942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed Top Esports32c1,225$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0721937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3806…f4c4backed Top Esports1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121276.3%8 W · 119 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaef…4775backed Top Esports9c1,161$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.059148.4%44 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed JD Gaming78c1,115$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7457947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Top Esports9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047953.2%255 W · 224 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed JD Gaming64c1,100$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.521,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Top Esports27c1,093$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Top Esports29c1,037$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Top Esports5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Top Esports10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked JD Gaming70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf974…ec30backed Top Esports36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010049%49 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed JD Gaming67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33071249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Top Esports42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42017744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc0…cebcbacked Top Esports8c1,000$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked JD Gaming58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42014840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Top Esports18c999.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Top Esports31c999.97$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9979653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed JD Gaming62c956.98$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2813136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Top Esports11c937.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2940237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Top Esports11c934.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed JD Gaming60c918.37$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3517838.8%69 W · 109 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Top Esports41c903.46$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.427536%27 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed JD Gaming80c899.99$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9917345.7%79 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed JD Gaming67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5236260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb2…9f23backed Top Esports12c859.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Top Esports12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008758.6%51 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked JD Gaming73c823.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.221,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed JD Gaming63c805.97$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.211,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Top Esports35c802.09$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7317250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed JD Gaming67c801.76$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5815731.8%50 W · 107 L-15.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed JD Gaming67c800$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed JD Gaming75c799.45$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4515166.2%100 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa029…76cdbacked Top Esports42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf544…4f8cbacked JD Gaming67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23110850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Top Esports12c700$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.