Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b2abfdb54acee9f4e00c98215b802c0af421ae88bc2c7316fa7e14887abe1d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 37c | 490$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 63c | 268.95$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Under | 17c | 249.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 39c | 211$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.27per pick | 31cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 33c | 207.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 70c | 190.73$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 28c | 158.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc796…6669backed Under | 67c | 149.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 37c | 108.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Over | 78c | 95.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 80c | 52.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 65c | 51.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…df5abacked Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 64c | 46.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 61c | 42.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 35c | 36.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…d220backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Under | 64c | 18.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…0282backed Over | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.