Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x007ca2e4620758ce12ef0e5e0faaeb2f2dea6cac81048ff6a6cee8afe6388b12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 25c | 1,039$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.82 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 26c | 960.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 26c | 699.96$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Over | 74c | 561.16$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.54 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 73c | 546$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 74c | 537.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 30c | 425.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Over | 75c | 369.93$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 74c | 310$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over | 75c | 293.69$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Over | 73c | 290.41$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Over | 74c | 254.87$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 151 | 66.2%100 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 73c | 250.44$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 26c | 215.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…3a14backed Over | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Under | 10c | 201.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 27c | 200.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 69c | 162.54$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Over | 74c | 154.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 560 | 60.4%338 W · 222 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 27c | 153.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…e4f0backed Over | 74c | 143.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…e3bbbacked Under | 24c | 131$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…5d33backed Over | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…0501backed Over | 72c | 127.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Over | 73c | 77.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…7921backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d1…b169backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 26c | 62.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.27per pick | 31cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 521 | 51.8%270 W · 251 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287e…c0acbacked Over | 74c | 44.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…23b9backed Over | 74c | 41.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…f1b7backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…40bbbacked Over | 78c | 39.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e6…73edbacked Over | 73c | 36.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…f934backed Over | 74c | 29.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3128…e9ccbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…474abacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…bda8backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…ec11backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…c8aabacked Over | 75c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…7246backed Over | 74c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.