TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof JD Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,300 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b00…8ea1backed JD Gaming43c9,000$3,870 inLost-$3,87010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc97c…b38fbacked Top Esports57c4,133$2,356 inWon+$1,777.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e2…8bd2backed Top Esports57c3,253$1,854 inWon+$1,398.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec70…a651backed Top Esports57c1,614$920 inWon+$694.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Top Esports55c1,048$576 inWon+$471.4721144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Top Esports55c740.03$407 inWon+$333.271,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed JD Gaming45c456.1$205 inLost-$204.642,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed JD Gaming45c444.44$200 inLost-$20039541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed JD Gaming45c334.13$150 inLost-$150.363240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed JD Gaming45c265.8$120 inLost-$119.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed JD Gaming44c199.99$88 inLost-$883842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked JD Gaming42c199.98$84 inLost-$83.9948143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed JD Gaming46c199.44$91 inLost-$90.7932752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Top Esports58c182.96$106 inWon+$76.8485746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked Top Esports58c172.41$100 inWon+$72.412050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Top Esports59c146.83$86 inWon+$60.4214935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Top Esports67c136.9$92 inWon+$45.1320439.2%80 W · 124 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked JD Gaming42c122.32$51 inLost-$51.3832345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Top Esports56c100$56 inWon+$4416251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Top Esports55c100$55 inWon+$451,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed JD Gaming55c99.98$55 inLost-$54.9966445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed JD Gaming40c93$37 inLost-$37.235751.5%184 W · 173 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05b0…df5abacked JD Gaming44c87$38 inLost-$38.28922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-64.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed JD Gaming40c75$30 inLost-$3021746.5%101 W · 116 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Top Esports57c68.42$39 inWon+$29.111742.7%50 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked JD Gaming46c65.22$30 inLost-$309538.9%37 W · 58 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed JD Gaming37c64.62$24 inLost-$24.111,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Top Esports56c59.21$33 inWon+$26.0515255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Top Esports54c50$27 inWon+$2353954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed JD Gaming33c47.99$16 inLost-$1621233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked JD Gaming44c45.45$20 inLost-$2049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked JD Gaming43c45.41$20 inLost-$19.641,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eba…3b04backed JD Gaming46c43.48$20 inLost-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Top Esports58c36.21$21 inWon+$15.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed JD Gaming45c28.89$13 inLost-$1312834.4%44 W · 84 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed JD Gaming42c27.06$11 inLost-$11.3725547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.