TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof JD Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$407,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$509,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed Top Esports42c107,915$45,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,216.4964155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked JD Gaming59c22,623$13,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,370.732,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed JD Gaming58c14,275$8,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,995.6981143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked JD Gaming80c14,055$11,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.4620354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed JD Gaming62c12,882$7,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,942.8825446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed JD Gaming58c12,777$7,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,366.3431153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked JD Gaming79c12,774$10,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.6110446.2%48 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Top Esports2c11,666$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6620035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed Top Esports54c10,408$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6001216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked JD Gaming58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.6925751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed Top Esports3c8,500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901242.4%3 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-95.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dd…cf72backed JD Gaming80c7,444$5,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.542055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed JD Gaming77c7,370$5,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.6214757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed JD Gaming62c7,303$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.771,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Top Esports27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8906552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports40c7,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.983,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Top Esports11c6,383$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.6618451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Top Esports42c6,027$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.2645248%217 W · 235 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Top Esports44c4,516$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed JD Gaming58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed JD Gaming58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9928361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Top Esports21c3,743$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.9626246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Top Esports40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9949940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Top Esports15c3,372$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016745.5%76 W · 91 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked JD Gaming59c3,083$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.5812646.8%59 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed JD Gaming63c3,050$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.051,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e23…761dbacked JD Gaming28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16020537.6%77 W · 128 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Top Esports33c2,821$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.6953640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed JD Gaming59c2,812$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.721,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Top Esports29c2,802$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.8734837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed JD Gaming59c2,650$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.3826942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed JD Gaming55c2,594$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.2221937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Top Esports25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62530321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Top Esports29c2,500$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.248440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Top Esports23c2,464$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.9285652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Top Esports40c2,403$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.171,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked JD Gaming59c2,300$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.1329236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e6b…b4b4backed Top Esports6c2,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-85.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Top Esports41c1,948$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.6139239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed JD Gaming58c1,905$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.0614852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Top Esports27c1,877$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.771,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed JD Gaming61c1,815$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.825547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Top Esports42c1,698$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.049534.7%33 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Top Esports43c1,665$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.716241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Top Esports14c1,646$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2653139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Top Esports28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42021754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed JD Gaming58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Top Esports30c1,500$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45330139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Top Esports26c1,496$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.676639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked Top Esports37c1,449$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53715731.2%49 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed JD Gaming76c1,342$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.257947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked JD Gaming80c1,334$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.796549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Top Esports41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.22,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Top Esports41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49217744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed JD Gaming58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46271249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Top Esports4c1,050$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.52193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed JD Gaming58c1,050$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.831,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed JD Gaming58c1,029$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.047742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed JD Gaming60c1,022$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.6736260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1590…e9c7backed JD Gaming59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4102347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed JD Gaming58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed JD Gaming60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40043542.8%186 W · 249 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked JD Gaming58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ba…e3f3backed JD Gaming77c1,000$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.926451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed JD Gaming58c999.98$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked JD Gaming59c947.47$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.465141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Top Esports25c900$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Top Esports15c888$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.233748.4%163 W · 174 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed JD Gaming69c882.21$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.482,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Top Esports39c877.1$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.8582352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed JD Gaming59c845.68$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.738758.6%51 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed JD Gaming59c834.93$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.3211037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked JD Gaming60c833.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.9324858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed JD Gaming58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked JD Gaming72c797.82$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3913556.3%76 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Top Esports41c783.44$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2144843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed JD Gaming58c781.99$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.4439851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed JD Gaming58c750$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31526453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked JD Gaming58c750$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31595951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed JD Gaming59c747.64$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.537759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Top Esports27c740.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011632.8%38 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed JD Gaming65c736.27$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2715166.2%100 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked JD Gaming70c719.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.232259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Top Esports41c717.98$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.371,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed JD Gaming60c699.98$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.7916045.6%73 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e78…29d0backed Top Esports42c680.95$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28624248.3%117 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be4…1f20backed JD Gaming75c665.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.352747.6%251 W · 276 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked JD Gaming59c660$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.61,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed JD Gaming58c650.01$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0130661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed JD Gaming70c611.5$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.511,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Top Esports11c602.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2497427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…85c5backed JD Gaming67c600.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2239861.8%246 W · 152 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed JD Gaming59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24630050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Top Esports24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442532%8 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe82b…52b4backed Top Esports41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2462733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf544…4f8cbacked Top Esports41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24610850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed JD Gaming59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24675738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…9541backed JD Gaming58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522969%20 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Top Esports40c564.76$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.491,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Top Esports4c560$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.051,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.