TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c59…e3bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$31.83
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+70.4%+$53.76
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.38
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$19.45
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.8%+$24.79
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.56
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+30.4%+$7.9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.69
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25.7%+$3.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$19.06
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.2%+$7.43
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.6%+$4.01
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+41.2%+$4.62
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+46.7%+$12.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.5%+$8.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34.2%+$12.85
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.66
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$74.24
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+90.8%+$29.05
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+43%+$16.67
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+77.5%+$8.53
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.91
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.