TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DN SOOPersof BNK FEARX, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,939 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…05babacked DN SOOPers42c14,234$5,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,277.61,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX60c11,448$6,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,917.161,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed BNK FEARX56c10,600$5,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,918.966216.1%10 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked BNK FEARX62c9,769$6,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,071.2325751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed BNK FEARX30c7,000$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.9916238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed DN SOOPers72c6,935$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.9115166.2%100 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed BNK FEARX46c6,506$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.445848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed DN SOOPers40c5,277$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.8227637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x836f…a315backed BNK FEARX26c5,132$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.813327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed DN SOOPers58c5,130$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.241,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed BNK FEARX16c5,100$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.9997427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed BNK FEARX43c4,707$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.9748157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked BNK FEARX39c3,863$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.7175942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ab…0fe6backed DN SOOPers37c3,518$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.324729.8%14 W · 33 L-8.4wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed DN SOOPers70c3,100$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed BNK FEARX50c3,089$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.676238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked DN SOOPers34c3,070$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.1727447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed BNK FEARX20c2,909$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.071,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed BNK FEARX24c2,274$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.6314425%36 W · 108 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed DN SOOPers42c2,079$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.2932952.9%174 W · 155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed BNK FEARX50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked BNK FEARX52c1,925$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00059558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked BNK FEARX72c1,919$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.7418755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX38c1,904$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.182,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed BNK FEARX45c1,851$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.5667276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed BNK FEARX25c1,820$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked DN SOOPers38c1,820$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.3914041.4%58 W · 82 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed BNK FEARX50c1,799$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.5481143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed DN SOOPers62c1,773$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.3625547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed BNK FEARX15c1,773$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.2928350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed DN SOOPers60c1,768$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.2125269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed BNK FEARX69c1,704$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.41,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2615…c16dbacked DN SOOPers75c1,599$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9123357.1%133 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed BNK FEARX66c1,501$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.4316040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed DN SOOPers37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9832844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed DN SOOPers52c1,386$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.741,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked DN SOOPers39c1,270$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.1726245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed DN SOOPers48c1,239$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.536943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed DN SOOPers37c1,220$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2248448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked BNK FEARX9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed DN SOOPers38c1,199$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.319267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed DN SOOPers64c1,100$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3957374%54 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed DN SOOPers54c1,097$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.3328361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked DN SOOPers54c1,027$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2710352.4%54 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed DN SOOPers48c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52517744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed DN SOOPers40c1,000$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.550547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed DN SOOPers69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed DN SOOPers75c968.98$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2412055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked BNK FEARX62c898.87$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.36331.7%20 W · 43 L-9.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed BNK FEARX64c896.47$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.7348852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked DN SOOPers34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.3595951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed DN SOOPers40c839.97$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.9826453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BNK FEARX30c833.62$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.291,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed BNK FEARX2c828.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.562193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed BNK FEARX37c735.27$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.2563161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed BNK FEARX57c733.42$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.171,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked DN SOOPers71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98c6…3d1ebacked BNK FEARX30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked BNK FEARX40c657.24$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1733251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed DN SOOPers32c626.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.0541544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked DN SOOPers80c624.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.881,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20a2…dc15backed DN SOOPers78c604.91$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.821442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf270…7a37backed DN SOOPers60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2409053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked BNK FEARX31c594.44$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.920550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked DN SOOPers44c565.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.981,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN SOOPers37c559.18$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.182,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed DN SOOPers72c558.83$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8343151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecd…7fd6backed BNK FEARX22c536.01$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.129454.3%51 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed DN SOOPers42c527.03$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0668443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed BNK FEARX6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed DN SOOPers56c498$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1229856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f9…3f7bbacked BNK FEARX61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed DN SOOPers52c483.27$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9746153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BNK FEARX58c454.37$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5382352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked BNK FEARX67c448.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30096057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked BNK FEARX53c419.97$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22143138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed DN SOOPers47c400$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2147342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked BNK FEARX52c399.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e66…8ca1backed BNK FEARX54c390$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.512254.9%67 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked DN SOOPers41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8528166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed DN SOOPers59c354.24$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2448353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed BNK FEARX41c349.01$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.639741.2%40 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed DN SOOPers39c346.48$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.740347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed BNK FEARX33c336.8$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7444843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed DN SOOPers72c331.34$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0986758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed DN SOOPers77c326.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3513057.7%75 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01a4…d2b5backed BNK FEARX37c325$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.272245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked BNK FEARX29c323.9$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3125639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked BNK FEARX24c320$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.766116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed DN SOOPers34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19846033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed BNK FEARX19c299.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5794134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d20…e6a5backed BNK FEARX39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed DN SOOPers35c291.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.272528%7 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed DN SOOPers55c289.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7967057.5%385 W · 285 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked BNK FEARX65c281.08$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.752062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked BNK FEARX45c280$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12663352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe1…c364backed DN SOOPers37c263.14$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7817838.8%69 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf9…d6f0backed BNK FEARX23c252.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed BNK FEARX6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2828942.6%123 W · 166 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca9c…1007backed DN SOOPers40c242.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9311038.2%42 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.