Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b93b51dbe6c15cc5a910e41ea60a2ab5cd5b5a2370f4b33bb36eb58e6adbd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 61c | 2,372$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.34 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 39c | 1,667$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.67 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Under | 62c | 760.53$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.53 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Under | 23c | 650$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 533 | 38.6%206 W · 327 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Under | 59c | 434.12$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.13 | 1,005 | 54%543 W · 462 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Under | 64c | 426.69$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.74 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 64c | 386.73$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.73 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Over | 61c | 375.91$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Under | 63c | 318.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 35c | 307.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Under | 64c | 289.44$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Over | 36c | 280$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Over | 37c | 259.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Over | 38c | 254.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 189 | 44.4%84 W · 105 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Over | 38c | 186.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…d9d0backed Over | 39c | 169.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed Over | 33c | 127.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 385 | 34.8%134 W · 251 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 49c | 110.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Over | 38c | 101$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 1,136 | 43.2%491 W · 645 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 62c | 101$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 986 | 63.6%627 W · 359 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Under | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Over | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…50b8backed Over | 41c | 73.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 526 | 46.2%243 W · 283 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Under | 63c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…e3bbbacked Over | 45c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…5abdbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 60c | 19.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)DN Freecs won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)DN Freecs won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerDN Freecs won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 5?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.