Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75e4c7aae934f011432d9eead08256a9a99e7c79b59cc7e6f13950ddd7e04653
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1ae…5039backed Under | 0c | 29,890$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 28c | 10,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Over | 72c | 6,172$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.74 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…7076backed Over | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 7c | 976.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 70c | 659.36$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.61 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…8836backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Over | 69c | 491.61$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 31c | 471.61$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 28c | 297.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 9c | 143.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…440abacked Over | 70c | 139.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 8c | 126.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…d83bbacked Over | 72c | 99.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Over | 70c | 98.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 72c | 98.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Over | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c8c3backed Over | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)DN Freecs won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)DN Freecs won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerDN Freecs won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 5?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.