TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, DN Freecs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd812…2558backed DN Freecs36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20021137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed DN Freecs32c18,842$6,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000.9127637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked DN Freecs6c14,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84016654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked BNK FEARX64c12,500$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50059558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DN Freecs36c10,890$3,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,867.21,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a65…9e1cbacked DN Freecs1c10,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed BNK FEARX62c8,500$5,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.996216.1%10 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked BNK FEARX64c7,973$5,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.2418961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed BNK FEARX78c6,809$5,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.7867276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked BNK FEARX64c6,263$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.5125751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed BNK FEARX74c5,894$4,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.7843151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed DN Freecs36c5,558$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.881,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX61c5,180$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.1955955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed DN Freecs10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x836f…a315backed DN Freecs7c4,364$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.123327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked BNK FEARX75c4,341$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.9825244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BNK FEARX60c4,000$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59582352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX78c3,616$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.61,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed DN Freecs38c3,529$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.6532844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed BNK FEARX62c3,221$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.051,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BNK FEARX71c3,181$2,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.791,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed BNK FEARX63c3,150$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.4876953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed DN Freecs31c2,986$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.511,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed BNK FEARX76c2,965$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.8814757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ce…e206backed DN Freecs17c2,640$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5722452.2%117 W · 107 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX65c2,487$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.141,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed DN Freecs35c2,400$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84914425%36 W · 108 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed DN Freecs36c2,262$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.523020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked BNK FEARX62c2,212$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.7518755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BNK FEARX61c2,126$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.331,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked DN Freecs38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76075942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed BNK FEARX58c2,000$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.655639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed DN Freecs38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7601,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked DN Freecs38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76014041.4%58 W · 82 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed BNK FEARX63c2,000$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.2421857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6260…fed5backed DN Freecs42c1,851$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.2916660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked DN Freecs34c1,818$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.811,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed DN Freecs35c1,784$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.151,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed BNK FEARX62c1,608$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.439962.6%62 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed BNK FEARX64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.54443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked DN Freecs39c1,464$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57159248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed BNK FEARX74c1,329$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.991,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed DN Freecs40c1,319$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.95848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs36c1,295$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.253,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked DN Freecs39c1,258$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48914835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BNK FEARX61c1,200$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4641,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed BNK FEARX60c1,196$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.321,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed DN Freecs42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked DN Freecs32c1,139$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.072,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked DN Freecs36c1,100$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked DN Freecs11c1,100$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed DN Freecs23c1,085$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8411037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed DN Freecs11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11097427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed DN Freecs38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38048448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed DN Freecs37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37017744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX62c999.99$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed BNK FEARX61c999.99$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed BNK FEARX70c999.99$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2987374%54 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9944550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed DN Freecs37c978$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.8610243.1%44 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BNK FEARX63c969.99$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3592,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed DN Freecs38c962.64$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.2416040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed DN Freecs34c960.94$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.657947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BNK FEARX62c939$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.651,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed DN Freecs13c900$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1175833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked DN Freecs40c867.72$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6292354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x429a…cdf6backed DN Freecs37c855.7$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed BNK FEARX55c820.11$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.5327735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed BNK FEARX62c813.99$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.321,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed DN Freecs37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed DN Freecs24c794.19$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7468443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed DN Freecs37c756.76$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2809267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked DN Freecs38c750.05$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.0278050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed DN Freecs38c730$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.440347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed DN Freecs38c729.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.450547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked DN Freecs4c699.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked DN Freecs36c631.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3953640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed DN Freecs27c630.46$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.525547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed DN Freecs32c624.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011937%44 W · 75 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed DN Freecs37c618.45$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.831,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed DN Freecs38c616.47$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9954944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked DN Freecs36c608.33$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21922646.5%105 W · 121 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked BNK FEARX61c603$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.461,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed BNK FEARX60c599.99$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23771249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed BNK FEARX73c569.15$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8125952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed DN Freecs42c561.13$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.939741.2%40 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked BNK FEARX77c549.26$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.591,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked DN Freecs37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20096057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN Freecs38c537.96$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.531,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed DN Freecs39c515.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018839.9%75 W · 113 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked DN Freecs38c503.87$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19225648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed BNK FEARX62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19030050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed BNK FEARX62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19048440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN Freecs37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed DN Freecs40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed BNK FEARX64c473.44$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4448852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed DN Freecs21c469.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6811637.1%43 W · 73 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed DN Freecs38c445.5$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2943542.8%186 W · 249 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed DN Freecs8c430.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5817933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed DN Freecs28c430.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12244843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.