TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$453,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$550,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Dplus KIA1c33,333$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.33293.4%1 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-89.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Dplus KIA34c27,184$9,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,340.1721448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed Dplus KIA3c24,098$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.0516040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed T170c15,761$10,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,804.9125269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed T165c15,325$10,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,307.9511750.4%59 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Dplus KIA35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.984544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed T164c12,343$7,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,424.7616050.6%81 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x794e…4247backed Dplus KIA0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11750%0 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Dplus KIA34c10,330$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.391,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dplus KIA14c7,969$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.691,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked Dplus KIA5c7,952$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.82040%8 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Dplus KIA1c7,332$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.23775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed T165c6,980$4,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.11,15849.2%570 W · 588 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed T165c6,632$4,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.221137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Dplus KIA28c6,353$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7731,01647%478 W · 538 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Dplus KIA6c6,146$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6419122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Dplus KIA35c5,031$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.7426246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Dplus KIA36c4,526$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.1123439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed T167c4,419$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.6318132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed T166c4,390$2,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.6341644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Dplus KIA35c4,304$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Dplus KIA20c4,124$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.521,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T172c4,053$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.641,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Dplus KIA19c4,025$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.6931644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0e…fdfebacked T162c3,935$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.481735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Dplus KIA35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05020438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3a…2296backed Dplus KIA38c2,598$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.071533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed T165c2,501$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.3542940.1%172 W · 257 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Dplus KIA28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.991,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Dplus KIA11c2,307$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.771,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Dplus KIA31c2,156$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.331,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed T164c1,911$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.936835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f80…a594backed Dplus KIA8c1,609$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8254%1 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-80%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed T163c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.336260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked T165c1,421$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.998151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Dplus KIA2c1,400$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255873.6%21 W · 566 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+176.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Dplus KIA14c1,400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19644550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Dplus KIA8c1,382$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4423341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed T164c1,329$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.5739851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Dplus KIA5c1,300$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked T163c1,270$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.841,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA25c1,228$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.652,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed T163c1,155$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.421937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dplus KIA14c1,139$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.431,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked T168c1,121$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.9185046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Dplus KIA13c1,050$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4620550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Dplus KIA15c1,004$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.919420.2%19 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Dplus KIA36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36038837.4%145 W · 243 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Dplus KIA1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106347.1%45 W · 589 L-1.9wins0.00per pick7cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed T165c942.39$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.2613056.9%74 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked T165c920$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32296057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Dplus KIA34c900$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066331.7%20 W · 43 L-9.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Dplus KIA29c899.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e9d…82a7backed T180c871.71$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.34366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed T178c836.81$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8943151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked T163c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6592354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed T167c770.97$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4414554.5%79 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked T166c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5818755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dplus KIA15c750$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.52,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked T167c750$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2379653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed T167c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23185746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe993…f57dbacked T162c700$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd717…3e33backed Dplus KIA36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc19…0650backed Dplus KIA36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa132…eebdbacked T163c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2592751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Dplus KIA17c684.47$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3641752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed T166c681.82$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8250547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Dplus KIA34c630$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.22,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed T180c625.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.455453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Dplus KIA14c600$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8133251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Dplus KIA19c593.77$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6512433.9%42 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Dplus KIA7c580$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.67847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed T172c560.74$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0152750.9%268 W · 259 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Dplus KIA31c560.67$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17524436.9%90 W · 154 L-18.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed T170c525.4$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9421350.2%107 W · 106 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed T180c512.8$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9854054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed T165c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1757763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Dplus KIA34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17013136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc05a…532bbacked Dplus KIA11c499.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410325.2%26 W · 77 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Dplus KIA17c474.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7825639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked T165c469.47$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4652062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked T179c457.99$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.649743.3%42 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Dplus KIA12c455.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6644843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…5e03backed T167c449.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.52378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+45.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Dplus KIA24c426.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.941,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Dplus KIA34c402.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.995633.9%19 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed T166c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13668063.4%431 W · 249 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed T162c380$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.494644.6%422 W · 524 L-2.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Dplus KIA20c369$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4853640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Dplus KIA33c366.72$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0216325.2%41 W · 122 L-15.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed T165c350$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.528843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed T164c341.19$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8392342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed Dplus KIA8c338.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4af6…270abacked Dplus KIA5c331.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.451040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed T163c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4648852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x308e…90c9backed T163c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.462853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked T163c316.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1826645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked T161c315.52$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9932457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbe…65c8backed T164c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cf4…b11abacked T165c308.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.855858.6%34 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.