TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$767,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$870,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Dplus KIA32c353,888$112,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,283.1155955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked T169c285,443$195,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,913.757751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed T167c50,000$33,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,50013453.7%72 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Dplus KIA29c17,453$5,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100.71,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked T165c15,569$10,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,449.2641752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed T166c15,092$10,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,064.8125269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Dplus KIA35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.974544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Dplus KIA34c12,500$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,274.9723439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed T167c11,424$7,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,778.1741644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T167c11,194$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,694.4159558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dplus KIA4c10,885$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.11,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Dplus KIA17c10,845$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.8881143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed T175c10,324$7,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.3367276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Dplus KIA5c7,686$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.321740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Dplus KIA33c7,616$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.421,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Dplus KIA1c7,332$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.23775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Dplus KIA35c6,173$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.5542840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Dplus KIA33c5,730$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.9527447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Dplus KIA40c5,308$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.1111750.4%59 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed T167c4,850$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.548448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T173c4,664$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.581,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Dplus KIA36c4,488$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.8533456%187 W · 147 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Dplus KIA29c4,451$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2881,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Dplus KIA26c3,820$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.891,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed T167c3,500$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.987374%54 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Dplus KIA35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05020438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Dplus KIA3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9025244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed T171c2,813$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.453464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed T165c2,550$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.51,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA34c2,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6703,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed T160c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80018132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…1dd0backed T160c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked T174c2,000$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.521,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed T170c1,910$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.1713056.9%74 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Dplus KIA26c1,909$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0321857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Dplus KIA36c1,778$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64019122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed T171c1,723$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49669756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Dplus KIA22c1,674$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0431644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked T172c1,560$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4985046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked T165c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.461,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Dplus KIA19c1,534$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.21,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dplus KIA14c1,518$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.412,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Dplus KIA32c1,500$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4761,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Dplus KIA37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55519839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed T165c1,493$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.5785746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed T160c1,482$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.334156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed T169c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2836260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked T163c1,442$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.191,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Dplus KIA34c1,412$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.551,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Dplus KIA18c1,400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25244550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed T171c1,317$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.631,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Dplus KIA17c1,280$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2116540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Dplus KIA36c1,270$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.6211443%49 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed Dplus KIA35c1,269$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.9712055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Dplus KIA19c1,266$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6854944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Dplus KIA35c1,150$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.513136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Dplus KIA4c1,030$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.517869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Dplus KIA3c1,029$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.296297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed T166c1,007$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.3357947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Dplus KIA2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T165c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Dplus KIA33c999.97$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.991,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e6…ea33backed T178c951.17$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.234257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed T166c882.57$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.261,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed T167c878.23$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.1125560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed T165c872.66$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4348852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcfb3…8689backed T158c866.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.566361.9%39 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Dplus KIA7c857.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed T165c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.231973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed T165c764.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.145367.9%36 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Dplus KIA15c751.51$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7321448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc923…783abacked Dplus KIA22c747.53$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.653920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed T168c737.69$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3629758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked T166c733.23$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.378050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed T162c725.81$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8150547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked T169c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6418755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Dplus KIA8c709.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.579348.4%45 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Dplus KIA8c700$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5872234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Dplus KIA5c692.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.125639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Dplus KIA16c649.12$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7720550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed T165c623.94$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.381,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Dplus KIA9c583.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1763352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Dplus KIA26c583$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.181,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked T168c570$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.41,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42f3…ece9backed Dplus KIA39c569.18$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.521921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Dplus KIA36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Dplus KIA30c530.41$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1282352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc05a…532bbacked Dplus KIA16c529.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.810325.2%26 W · 77 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked T167c529.85$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8559248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Dplus KIA50c524.2$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Dplus KIA3c519$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9789810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked T152c506$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.853640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed T169c500$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.399870.4%69 W · 29 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbe…65c8backed Dplus KIA5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed T166c500$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16994144.6%420 W · 521 L-2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Dplus KIA28c479.37$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.281,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Dplus KIA32c452.86$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8671249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Dplus KIA14c440$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4115153.6%81 W · 70 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1ecd…091dbacked T165c433.46$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.712070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Dplus KIA32c410$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.21,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.