Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d423886d4c88fd85a749f320dcd26a178eec1f3251aaf86dd830c556a13b1a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Dplus KIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Dplus KIA | 45c | 109,518$49,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,154.02 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked T1 | 55c | 99,923$54,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,965.49 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed T1 | 54c | 10,189$5,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.83 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Dplus KIA | 46c | 5,237$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.29 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed T1 | 60c | 4,805$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.69 | 1,473 | 61.4%904 W · 569 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Dplus KIA | 42c | 4,396$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed T1 | 58c | 4,396$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 3,598$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed T1 | 56c | 3,598$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dplus KIA | 40c | 2,857$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.67 | 1,638 | 40.2%659 W · 979 L | +49.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed T1 | 59c | 2,069$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.29 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…cf01backed T1 | 61c | 1,638$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.68 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Dplus KIA | 39c | 1,593$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.15 | 1,030 | 52.3%539 W · 491 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed T1 | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 437 | 40.5%177 W · 260 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Dplus KIA | 42c | 775$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 234 | 39.7%93 W · 141 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…da0ebacked T1 | 59c | 701.69$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.69 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Dplus KIA | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Dplus KIA | 42c | 330$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 366 | 46.4%170 W · 196 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed T1 | 54c | 277.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 1,187 | 44.4%527 W · 660 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Dplus KIA | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 41.1%163 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…6ac9backed T1 | 53c | 186.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Dplus KIA | 42c | 186.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Dplus KIA | 42c | 167.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed T1 | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed T1 | 60c | 149.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked T1 | 59c | 138$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked T1 | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Dplus KIA | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,119 | 48.7%545 W · 574 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68e…8a50backed Dplus KIA | 45c | 111.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed T1 | 51c | 87.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…1ba3backed Dplus KIA | 46c | 80.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dplus KIA | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Dplus KIA | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 2,248 | 37.3%838 W · 1,410 L | -33.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6acebacked Dplus KIA | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Dplus KIA | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 762 | 29%221 W · 541 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…ba0fbacked T1 | 60c | 65.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed T1 | 59c | 61.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed T1 | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 358 | 51.4%184 W · 174 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked T1 | 54c | 53.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -12.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed T1 | 70c | 52.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed T1 | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed T1 | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed T1 | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked T1 | 57c | 42.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b8…1f17backed T1 | 60c | 42.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345b…8cbdbacked Dplus KIA | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…ee8bbacked T1 | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed T1 | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…cd18backed Dplus KIA | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked T1 | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed T1 | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…b4efbacked Dplus KIA | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed T1 | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked T1 | 59c | 24.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed T1 | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked T1 | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group StageT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.