Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd36a646b11fcd2685c0a5c0140e562298d70ed55ddb7ad11bc22755676a26c12

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,144 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9027…4e9ebacked Over	70c	7,799$5,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,450	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under	30c	6,928$2,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,849.45	1,035	47.2%489 W · 546 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Over	60c	4,871$2,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,920.31	191	22.5%43 W · 148 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under	39c	4,756$1,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,901.15	277	35.7%99 W · 178 L	-12.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Over	66c	3,751$2,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,464.46	796	53.1%423 W · 373 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under	36c	3,636$1,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,318.79	416	44.2%184 W · 232 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Under	31c	2,359$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,627.8	1,156	49.1%568 W · 588 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Over	71c	1,499$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under	29c	1,354$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$961.18	183	50.8%93 W · 90 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	32c	1,228$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.1	850	46%391 W · 459 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522b…e2a6backed Over	45c	1,200$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over	69c	1,100$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759	127	59.8%76 W · 51 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under	32c	1,085$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.65	89	29.2%26 W · 63 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Under	31c	1,000$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690	541	29.9%162 W · 379 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under	39c	940.5$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.7	780	50%390 W · 390 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Over	66c	675$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.75	324	57.7%187 W · 137 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Under	38c	645.55$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.9	158	46.8%74 W · 84 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over	51c	599.33$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.09	130	30.8%40 W · 90 L	-7.6wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b0…5e03backed Under	41c	499.99$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+5.1wins	+0.22per pick	56cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked Under	65c	499.98$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.99	166	54.8%91 W · 75 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under	31c	499.98$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.99	1,609	48.4%779 W · 830 L	+24.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Over	69c	434.78$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	244	36.9%90 W · 154 L	-18.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Under	39c	407.9$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.43	563	17.2%97 W · 466 L	-16.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Over	70c	400$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c8c…e7e5backed Over	69c	373.96$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.03	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b4…b5e8backed Over	69c	366.45$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.85	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	69c	289.86$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	923	54.3%501 W · 422 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	42c	285.71$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.71	170	39.4%67 W · 103 L	-13.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked Over	69c	272.46$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	625	58.7%367 W · 258 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22c6…4574backed Over	62c	238.14$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.84	217	56.7%123 W · 94 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda1f…1f77backed Over	69c	234.09$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under	45c	219$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.45	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+6.8wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Over	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	130	42.3%55 W · 75 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Over	58c	199.99$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.99	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x308e…90c9backed Over	66c	198.22$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.82	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under	44c	164$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.97	1,158	42.6%493 W · 665 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over	68c	150$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	166	39.2%65 W · 101 L	-14.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x576e…537fbacked Over	50c	147.44$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Over	68c	147.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	207	59.4%123 W · 84 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Over	69c	144.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over	69c	144.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	40c	139.14$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.25	599	52.8%316 W · 283 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under	41c	129.91$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.75	506	43.1%218 W · 288 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c59…e3bbbacked Over	64c	116.86$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.24	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	62cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…f87ebacked Under	65c	116.07$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.07	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	68c	115$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.2	269	40.5%109 W · 160 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb878…e3e2backed Over	69c	101.04$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over	35c	100.69$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a4…d83bbacked Over	69c	100$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd482…b402backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-3.3wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under	31c	100$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	539	54.7%295 W · 244 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Under	62c	99.99$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under	29c	82.07$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.27	413	43.8%181 W · 232 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Under	76c	81.51$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.87	117	62.4%73 W · 44 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Over	33c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	664	45.6%303 W · 361 L	+14.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Under	39c	76.92$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0de1…916dbacked Over	70c	76.9$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.83	103	60.2%62 W · 41 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Under	60c	74.42$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.42	760	47%357 W · 403 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6e…c795backed Over	69c	72.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-5.8wins	-0.17per pick	64cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under	50c	72.17$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.27	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked Over	69c	67.61$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.65	632	47.6%301 W · 331 L	-17.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over	61c	65.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed Over	65c	61.36$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	119	37%44 W · 75 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcff…2fdfbacked Over	51c	59.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over	38c	51.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b80…93d5backed Over	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Over	70c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	197	41.1%81 W · 116 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33da…c962backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b09…0501backed Over	69c	49.28$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Over	32c	46.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	135	25.2%34 W · 101 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a79…6acebacked Over	69c	43.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over	69c	40.33$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.83	122	42.6%52 W · 70 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over	28c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	168	42.9%72 W · 96 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97b1…2146backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	22.2%12 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e26…123fbacked Over	73c	38$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over	69c	36.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa1…742dbacked Over	70c	35.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	68cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94e1…c8adbacked Over	69c	31.88$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked Over	69c	28.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	345	65.5%226 W · 119 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70a…5353backed Over	69c	28.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	71cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Under	37c	28.62$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.89	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	69c	25.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	364	67.3%245 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	42c	25.07$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.64	213	50.2%107 W · 106 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01d3…2ed0backed Over	69c	16.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e49…afeebacked Under	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa772…05efbacked Over	69c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)T1 won
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)T1 won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group StageT1 won
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerT1 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event