TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x522b…e2a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$9.83
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.09
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$244.76
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$80.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+72.4%+$50.4
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.45
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+45.6%+$20.51
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.25
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$186
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+79.3%+$14.6
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+25%+$6.4
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$145.75
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.5%+$109.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.64
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+156.4%+$109.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30.27
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.64
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.96
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38%+$7.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+137.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.4%+$52.01
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+245.9%+$26.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$79.35
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$76.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37%+$18.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$37.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$84.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.