TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57e4…835ebacked Over78c10,000$7,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff7…4bb3backed Over80c8,168$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Under21c7,560$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.891330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under15c5,348$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.951,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Under18c5,311$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.993650%18 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under36c3,771$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.152,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under20c3,050$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61034250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Over80c2,788$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.644953.1%26 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Under21c2,112$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.8219042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Under22c1,929$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.364942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…22aabacked Under20c1,857$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Under47c1,298$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.2295041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Under20c1,127$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22515141.7%63 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under22c1,026$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.296149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed0…5776backed Under22c1,015$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.842937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under21c820.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.572,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under31c802.57$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.870443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Over63c791.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.2643151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Over64c779.58$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.075337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Over55c769.76$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3913243.9%58 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed Under17c739.28$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12421819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over58c679.56$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.562740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe227…e21bbacked Under22c628.04$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.19922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74fa…2003backed Over57c610.54$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Over44c610$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.114158.2%82 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Under26c600.16$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6654129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Under32c577.25$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.323742.2%100 W · 137 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under22c554.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.091,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Under24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011127.9%31 W · 80 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed Over79c499.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10510250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Under20c420.04$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6228837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.415865.5%38 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Under9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Under46c393$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.812157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72c4…ee6cbacked Under35c386.28$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.641513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under26c376.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8450643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Over38c364.01$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.266936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c2…273dbacked Under19c326.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked Under18c309.83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.547544%33 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe8b…0793backed Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…5075backed Under16c244.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Over65c238.86$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.67052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78c…fbfdbacked Under61c231.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010339.8%41 W · 62 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Under45c224$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Under21c206.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3312647.6%60 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Under25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Over80c200$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaaf…064fbacked Under21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Under11c179.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.216038.1%61 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…9277backed Over79c168.08$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.31952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd316…c6bcbacked Over61c159.9$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2286…3ccfbacked Under8c154.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.071723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e79…089bbacked Under35c149.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.051145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over73c147.68$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8734244.7%153 W · 189 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under17c146$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under16c136$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa3…538dbacked Over77c129.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.982356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Under23c128.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…b9f8backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over62c125$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.251,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.812454%67 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Over56c119$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4510533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfd…8c00backed Over73c116.93$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.571963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under16c114.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.471,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67d…a852backed Under59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Under17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1729856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.256317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0272…7deabacked Under21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2150%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384438.6%17 W · 27 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe65…0578backed Under22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59b…3c66backed Over80c93.01$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under17c89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.131050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under16c86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.76875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Under43c85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.415846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d6…30babacked Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Under40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.82441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…c7b4backed Over79c79.17$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.756165.6%40 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1331352.4%164 W · 149 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Over67c74.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.629632.3%31 W · 65 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Over58c65.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5222147.1%104 W · 117 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under17c61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.371650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under21c52.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.883957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xf52f…bf96backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x026d…c112backed Over73c42.32$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b86…3010backed Over79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.45275%39 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf9b…7778backed Over77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d8…827cbacked Over78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.462343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623c…dde0backed Over75c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522b…e2a6backed Over80c31.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b8…2473backed Over79c31.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+155.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6434050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f7…8d38backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Under45c24.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+75.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Over57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.655750.4%281 W · 276 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bf…a844backed Over76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0668…027bbacked Over80c13.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.