TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under40c10,613$4,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,225.281,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over59c9,494$5,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,918.461656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Over58c7,688$4,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.86147.5%29 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Under49c6,578$3,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,196.5625751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Over56c6,323$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.24562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Over39c6,079$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Under44c5,534$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.251,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ac…86d0backed Over79c5,513$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.774755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Under4c5,100$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Under3c4,600$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdea3…e4babacked Under55c4,313$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.351866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Under41c4,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65048448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Under61c3,896$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.3839770.3%279 W · 118 L+30.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c3,305$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.772,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under41c3,287$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.2741644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over54c3,267$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.1695041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under42c3,000$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2703,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under31c2,971$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.411,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Under43c2,854$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2383650%18 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under41c2,796$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.9877949.9%389 W · 390 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Over67c2,460$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.7928855.9%161 W · 127 L-20.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Over75c2,244$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.1315354.2%83 W · 70 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5652…c7b4backed Over53c2,101$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.86165.6%40 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Over72c1,942$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.131,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Over78c1,933$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.1723657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under54c1,837$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.281,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Under18c1,600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28810044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Over45c1,557$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.3375942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9975…e7e6backed Over61c1,475$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.411266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Over59c1,300$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.037451.4%38 W · 36 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Under46c1,290$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60042050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Over78c1,278$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.257869.2%54 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c9…b8bbbacked Over56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5283461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+50.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Over58c1,194$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.27955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Under10c1,132$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0423915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaaf…064fbacked Under10c1,095$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.516735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under62c1,070$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.41850%9 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Under22c1,016$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5518744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under62c988.99$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.4313543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Under31c957.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over38c900$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55432752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8664…9981backed Under45c783.69$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under61c700$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4271,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Under27c700$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19142852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under45c669.15$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3470443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Under54c647.59$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.929856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5cb…9c55backed Under39c636.01$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Over61c630.61$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6143151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Under47c585.97$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.652157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Over50c550$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.533736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Under18c542.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9515236.2%55 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8778…8a09backed Under36c526.67$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Over36c523.89$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.895337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Under29c520.88$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15144042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22510250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under27c500$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under49c473.52$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7950643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b3…f676backed Over51c466.05$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Under43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c4…ee6cbacked Under44c444.08$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.441513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013747.4%65 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Under45c418.88$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.519041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58bc…1fdbbacked Under9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+247.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Over58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16850547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Under46c376.05$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.377027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Under14c366.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0783…dd27backed Under51c341.11$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x623c…dde0backed Under45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Over58c324.47$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2850845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over61c324.31$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4818755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Over55c291.38$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.384139%16 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed Under37c286.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10521819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4854…0887backed Under31c278.11$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.89119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-75.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Under51c274.43$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14021655.1%119 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Under65c272.78$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3130155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…bc81backed Over61c270.03$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.617250%36 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505865.5%38 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked Over55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.55939%23 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Under48c248.04$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0611141.4%46 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x80f9…3ab9backed Over39c230.72$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5421146%97 W · 114 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2a…b6efbacked Under49c204.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12444843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Under34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687437.8%28 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Over26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1483930.8%12 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06c6…9bc5backed Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7811656%65 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Under23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4623751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Over37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked Over37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Over60c171.83$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5616941.4%70 W · 99 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Over60c167.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9346258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Under46c166.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.642240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x924f…d049backed Over64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.63762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+34.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Over37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Under34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.618342.6%78 W · 105 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Over35c125$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.53135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d1…a8eebacked Under58c124.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.24151.2%21 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under62c124$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Under25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016038.1%61 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.