Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d6fb05b9e269563d5de98627343a1a2653dc689780cd61dc0ceee5cf94fd8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Under | 55c | 7,090$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed Over | 45c | 7,090$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 2c | 930.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 54c | 870$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Over | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 427.34$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed Over | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 67c | 158$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Over | 46c | 121.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Over | 46c | 108.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…e2a6backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Over | 33c | 97.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 36c | 81.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 69c | 71.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 66c | 46.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…7e14backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Over | 42c | 39.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Over | 42c | 27.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.