Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69dd7edf57ef858bde5b90d48ed0b93d6a893c7b3e47da537e5535e69e6fcc6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anyone's Legendof Anyone's Legend, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Anyone's Legend | 45c | 2,232$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.6 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Top Esports | 55c | 1,845$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.94 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Anyone's Legend | 43c | 539.89$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Top Esports | 60c | 515.27$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.2 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Anyone's Legend | 40c | 472.63$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.58 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Top Esports | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Anyone's Legend | 41c | 128.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Anyone's Legend | 42c | 117.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Top Esports | 56c | 104$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Anyone's Legend | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Anyone's Legend | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…81cabacked Top Esports | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Anyone's Legend | 43c | 98.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Anyone's Legend | 42c | 95.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Top Esports | 56c | 87.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Top Esports | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Top Esports | 64c | 60.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Top Esports | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Top Esports | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Top Esports | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…5c7dbacked Top Esports | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.8wins | -0.44per pick | 62cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Top Esports | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.