Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e8007ee90ed4f3fb44b7b133c9ecd77eaa300f953af70cac624c0537c0164cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 27c | 18,500$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 10,351$7,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.02 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 24c | 4,909$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 4,445$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.29 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 26c | 3,685$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 73c | 3,403$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.82 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 23c | 3,085$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.06 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 2,375$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.15 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…e99fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,154$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 14c | 2,110$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 21c | 1,525$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.67 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 1,512$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.12 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 3c | 1,319$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +276.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 79c | 1,122$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.36 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 1,064$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.17 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,004$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked Yes | 16c | 914.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 29c | 873.43$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 25c | 798.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 25c | 775.35$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 76c | 715$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 614$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 26c | 538$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 537.15$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 23c | 531.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 261 | 44.4%116 W · 145 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 21c | 480.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 21c | 470.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 73c | 418.34$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 72c | 414.57$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…610ebacked Yes | 25c | 403.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…926dbacked Yes | 23c | 386.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 24c | 382$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eeb…b355backed Yes | 12c | 376.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…4526backed Yes | 24c | 333.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0258backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 291.11$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Yes | 14c | 280$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 79c | 232.62$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 75c | 231.2$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 210$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…806fbacked Yes | 7c | 206.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…689ebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 75c | 190.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 25c | 188.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…4d1bbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Yes | 23c | 176.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 75c | 167.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 285 | 40%114 W · 171 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…8979backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 26c | 152.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…b47bbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…bb47backed No | 76c | 147.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 140$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 29c | 137.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 132.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 21c | 119.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…3b07backed Yes | 21c | 118.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 25c | 117.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…7410backed Yes | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…7f8cbacked Yes | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…baafbacked Yes | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 23c | 107.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…6525backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…4820backed Yes | 27c | 105.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…9486backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…d217backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18eb…a597backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…9daebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf38…a1b1backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…811abacked Yes | 22c | 95.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 15c | 93.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.