Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9c9c06a580b4e0b067af379cf28f97547a2e1b5c50da3d1134e25bfbcfa78ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed No | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 16,908$12,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.53 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…510bbacked Yes | 15c | 13,836$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 37c | 13,063$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.53 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.95 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 41c | 11,807$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.91 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 30c | 8,442$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +304.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 7c | 7,613$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 14c | 7,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 59c | 7,171$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.11 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 9c | 7,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 60c | 6,000$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…926dbacked Yes | 18c | 5,681$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 69c | 5,613$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.41 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 67c | 5,208$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.48 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 62c | 4,860$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.83 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 10c | 4,706$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…ddadbacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 3,950$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.46 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…9ea3backed Yes | 39c | 3,595$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…eae6backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…490ebacked No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 40c | 2,987$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.27 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 62c | 2,894$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.32 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 59c | 2,870$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.68 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…3d5cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,800$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e977backed Yes | 38c | 2,800$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 14c | 2,721$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.64 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,662$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 38c | 2,660$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.8 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 38c | 2,550$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 37c | 2,429$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.66 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 59c | 2,314$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.44 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 41c | 1,999$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.59 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,905$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.91 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,887$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 58c | 1,829$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.12 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 61c | 1,707$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed No | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 60c | 1,659$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.92 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed No | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…0cbcbacked Yes | 39c | 1,597$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +129%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 7c | 1,509$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…e99fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,487$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,409$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…00d5backed Yes | 37c | 1,385$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 38c | 1,299$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,294$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 20c | 1,274$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.66 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…f175backed No | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +262.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 59c | 1,162$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.48 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,149$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,108$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.16 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 57c | 1,065$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed No | 59c | 1,025$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.25 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 9c | 1,008$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x341e…9b67backed Yes | 20c | 1,006$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…1384backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked Yes | 19c | 997.82$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Yes | 38c | 930.73$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…1042backed Yes | 9c | 888.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Yes | 20c | 813.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…9767backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 74c | 765.92$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.18 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 30c | 764.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 59c | 760$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.6 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…5431backed No | 60c | 754$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 7c | 750$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 41c | 734.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Yes | 5c | 725.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ef…6ff4backed Yes | 23c | 725.17$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…da55backed No | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +310.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 31c | 699.92$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…56d7backed Yes | 39c | 699.63$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 693.41$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.78 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 75c | 692.46$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.19 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 14c | 686.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…8251backed Yes | 25c | 679.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 61c | 677$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.03 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…f463backed Yes | 15c | 666.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 11c | 646.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Yes | 8c | 644.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 39c | 641.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 38c | 623.68$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed Yes | 21c | 615.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 38c | 605.26$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.