Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x312703af2846d4fdb5f721920b0b38e2d3e2c069fad7327844ef1574d127dd6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Over | 50c | 8,986$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed Over | 50c | 8,870$4,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Under | 50c | 8,020$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Under | 50c | 8,011$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…a146backed Under | 50c | 4,350$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Over | 50c | 4,172$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed Under | 50c | 4,090$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.01 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked Over | 50c | 2,445$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed Under | 51c | 2,045$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.95 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ce…8884backed Over | 53c | 1,899$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 49c | 1,056$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.56 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Over | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Over | 52c | 670$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 49c | 615.45$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.88 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 32c | 608.34$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.69 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 552.4$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.15 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…e716backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +296.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 62c | 245.53$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 14c | 226.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +195%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 214$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Under | 53c | 209.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 54c | 200.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…c092backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 46c | 185.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Under | 48c | 170.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Over | 41c | 160$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Under | 65c | 147.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 38c | 135.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 44c | 135.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 107.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 38c | 105.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 40c | 90.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 47c | 83.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 567 | 44.8%254 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 37c | 73.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Under | 53c | 71.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a37…1059backed Over | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…e2a6backed Over | 74c | 50.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…b686backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 46.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Over | 50c | 45.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Over | 46c | 43.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 560 | 60.4%338 W · 222 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…848fbacked Over | 51c | 39.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…30afbacked Under | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Over | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Under | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Over | 46c | 32.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…eca7backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Under | 50c | 29.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 50c | 28.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…cc4abacked Over | 73c | 23.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 3?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 4?Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnerGen.G won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.