TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$519,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$604,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2219…a5e9backed Dplus KIA3c69,328$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.331921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick9cpaid+277.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Dplus KIA20c28,179$5,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,635.821137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Dplus KIA23c19,485$4,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,567.2825446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Dplus KIA9c18,511$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.9825038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Gen.G80c16,156$12,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,231.2859558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Dplus KIA31c13,362$4,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,18266437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Dplus KIA21c12,736$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.831,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Gen.G76c11,396$8,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.21,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Dplus KIA32c10,889$3,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.46238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Gen.G79c10,099$7,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.415166.2%100 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Dplus KIA22c10,005$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20123439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Gen.G78c9,488$7,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.468854.5%48 W · 40 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Dplus KIA21c8,888$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.471,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Gen.G67c8,455$5,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.1755955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gen.G73c8,379$6,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.461,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Gen.G72c7,628$5,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.1813355.6%74 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Dplus KIA2c7,321$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7725952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Gen.G71c7,063$5,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.9814757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed Gen.G78c6,975$5,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.2725269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Dplus KIA18c6,388$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.3867276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Gen.G78c5,533$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.6225547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gen.G71c5,350$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.041,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Dplus KIA29c5,319$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5671,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Dplus KIA3c5,010$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Gen.G79c5,000$3,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.935959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Gen.G79c4,878$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.870162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Dplus KIA2c4,676$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.276297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Dplus KIA22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016034.4%55 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Dplus KIA17c3,793$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.571,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Dplus KIA19c3,117$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.6453640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Dplus KIA21c3,000$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.411,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Dplus KIA5c3,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16514425%36 W · 108 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA21c2,928$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.213,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Dplus KIA11c2,900$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3228336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gen.G73c2,848$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.261,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Gen.G74c2,772$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.0996057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Gen.G67c2,647$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.891,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed Dplus KIA17c2,644$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Gen.G75c2,622$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.498056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5419…fcb2backed Dplus KIA19c2,611$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.993357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Dplus KIA32c2,576$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.4619150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Dplus KIA22c2,300$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50697427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x741e…9014backed Dplus KIA1c2,290$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.358121%17 W · 64 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4384…175fbacked Dplus KIA1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4527.7%4 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcff4…3609backed Dplus KIA33c2,000$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Gen.G69c1,956$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.411,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Gen.G75c1,805$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.161,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Dplus KIA25c1,800$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.411140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked Dplus KIA6c1,757$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.189535.8%34 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Gen.G79c1,652$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.9712661.1%77 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Gen.G70c1,651$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.821,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Dplus KIA31c1,636$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gen.G67c1,594$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.992,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Gen.G76c1,575$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.6826155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dplus KIA13c1,574$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.32,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Gen.G69c1,500$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9971249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Gen.G76c1,483$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.96453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Dplus KIA27c1,454$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.1743947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Dplus KIA19c1,450$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.94652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Dplus KIA23c1,337$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5115829.1%46 W · 112 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Dplus KIA16c1,300$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Dplus KIA33c1,225$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.2726645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Gen.G70c1,200$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Gen.G78c1,200$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26452650.8%267 W · 259 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Dplus KIA3c1,199$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021150.7%107 W · 104 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Gen.G77c1,190$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.716354%88 W · 75 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf0…9d88backed Dplus KIA25c1,189$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Gen.G78c1,157$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.281,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Gen.G70c1,140$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3424436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Dplus KIA2c1,110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.249549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Dplus KIA5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.021,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Dplus KIA7c1,096$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Gen.G68c1,088$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.551,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Dplus KIA18c1,055$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.543539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Dplus KIA3c1,040$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.29852%51 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b9…9c86backed Dplus KIA11c1,026$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011953.8%64 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Dplus KIA22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22046033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Gen.G75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Dplus KIA23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23029940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Gen.G69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31075738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Dplus KIA22c999.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.992010%2 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Gen.G76c980.96$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9610443.3%45 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Dplus KIA27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509962.6%62 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Gen.G75c900$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2254643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Gen.G67c845.6$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.051,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Dplus KIA24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19286758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc04a…af81backed Dplus KIA22c800$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf50c…83edbacked Gen.G78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1761070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Gen.G68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25664553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbecd…7fd6backed Gen.G75c771.37$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.359454.3%51 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Dplus KIA27c765$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5645344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8542…9405backed Dplus KIA7c753.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018910.1%19 W · 170 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked Dplus KIA3c750$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212520%5 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Dplus KIA26c750$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.466445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Gen.G69c749.99$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5595951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Gen.G79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Dplus KIA30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Gen.G77c681.91$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8452062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Gen.G75c662.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2928166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Dplus KIA20c600$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0920550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.